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法国军队在2月28日之前夺取了另一艘油轮?

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法国军队在2月28日之前夺取了另一艘油轮?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$62,919 交易量

>99% chance
Polymarket

$62,919 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if French government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

French government forces refer to any active French military (including the French Maritime Gendarmerie), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors.

Seizes refers to French forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a port controlled by France or another state confirmed to be cooperating with France in the seizure.

Seizures conducted in coordination with allied forces will count as long as French government forces physically take part in the operation at the site of the seizure. Remote or intelligence-sharing support from French forces will not alone count.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$62,919
结束日期
Feb 28, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 22, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if French government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. French government forces refer to any active French military (including the French Maritime Gendarmerie), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to French forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a port controlled by France or another state confirmed to be cooperating with France in the seizure. Seizures conducted in coordination with allied forces will count as long as French government forces physically take part in the operation at the site of the seizure. Remote or intelligence-sharing support from French forces will not alone count. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 否

有争议

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

This market will resolve to “Yes” if French government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

French government forces refer to any active French military (including the French Maritime Gendarmerie), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors.

Seizes refers to French forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a port controlled by France or another state confirmed to be cooperating with France in the seizure.

Seizures conducted in coordination with allied forces will count as long as French government forces physically take part in the operation at the site of the seizure. Remote or intelligence-sharing support from French forces will not alone count.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$62,919
结束日期
Feb 28, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 22, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if French government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. French government forces refer to any active French military (including the French Maritime Gendarmerie), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to French forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a port controlled by France or another state confirmed to be cooperating with France in the seizure. Seizures conducted in coordination with allied forces will count as long as French government forces physically take part in the operation at the site of the seizure. Remote or intelligence-sharing support from French forces will not alone count. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 否

有争议

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"法国军队在2月28日之前夺取了另一艘油轮?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "到2月28日,法国军队是否会再次扣押一艘油轮?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "法国军队在2月28日之前夺取了另一艘油轮?" has generated $62.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "法国军队在2月28日之前夺取了另一艘油轮?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "法国军队在2月28日之前夺取了另一艘油轮?" is "到2月28日,法国军队是否会再次扣押一艘油轮?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "法国军队在2月28日之前夺取了另一艘油轮?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.