Market icon

2026年第1周流感住院率

Market icon

2026年第1周流感住院率

$24,459 交易量

2026-01-12
Polymarket

$24,459 交易量

Polymarket

30

$14,287 交易量

35

$10,172 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for Week 1 of 2026, is at least as high as the specified number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by January 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 1, 2025 will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for Week 1 of 2026, is at least as high as the specified number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by January 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 1, 2025 will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$24,459
结束日期
2026-01-12
市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for Week 1 of 2026, is at least as high as the specified number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by January 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 1, 2025 will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for Week 1 of 2026, is at least as high as the specified number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by January 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 1, 2025 will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for Week 1 of 2026, is at least as high as the specified number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by January 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 1, 2025 will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$24,459
结束日期
2026-01-12
市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for Week 1 of 2026, is at least as high as the specified number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by January 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 1, 2025 will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年第1周流感住院率"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"30",概率为 100%,其次是"35",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2026年第1周流感住院率"已产生 $24.5K 的总交易量(自Jan 7, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年第1周流感住院率"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年第1周流感住院率"的当前领先者是"30",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"35",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年第1周流感住院率"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。