Market icon

埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2026年1月6日 - 1月13日?

Market icon

埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2026年1月6日 - 1月13日?

540-559 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$17,126,779 交易量

540-559 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$17,126,779 交易量

<20

$100,721 交易量

20-39

$82,574 交易量

40-59

$49,512 交易量

60-79

$82,503 交易量

80-99

$127,356 交易量

100-119

$185,645 交易量

120-139

$343,554 交易量

140-159

$208,517 交易量

160-179

$192,392 交易量

180-199

$383,565 交易量

200-219

$159,394 交易量

220-239

$237,818 交易量

240-259

$200,285 交易量

260-279

$270,769 交易量

280-299

$223,017 交易量

300-319

$210,362 交易量

320-339

$283,165 交易量

340-359

$317,790 交易量

360-379

$296,259 交易量

380-399

$386,542 交易量

400-419

$433,062 交易量

420-439

$373,190 交易量

440-459

$506,037 交易量

460-479

$686,792 交易量

480-499

$959,614 交易量

500-519

$1,323,895 交易量

520-539

$2,831,107 交易量

540-559

$1,853,352 交易量

560-579

$1,703,404 交易量

580+

$2,114,584 交易量

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 6 12:00 PM ET to January 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$17,126,779
结束日期
Jan 13, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 6 12:00 PM ET to January 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2026年1月6日 - 1月13日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "540-559" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2026年1月6日 - 1月13日?" has generated $17.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2026年1月6日 - 1月13日?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2026年1月6日 - 1月13日?" is "540-559" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2026年1月6日 - 1月13日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.