Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "The Drama" surpassing $10 million in its domestic opening weekend at 89% implied probability, driven by robust pre-sales that have already outperformed A24's recent rom-com "Materialists" and industry tracking estimates ranging from $13-25 million. Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power—building on her "Challengers" $15 million debut—combined with A24's counterprogramming appeal against family tentpoles like "Project Hail Mary," underpins this positioning, further bolstered by fresh early reviews yielding an 88-90% Rotten Tomatoes score praising the duo's edgy chemistry in Kristoffer Borgli's dark wedding comedy. While lower tiers reflect minimal worst-case walk-up risks, Thursday previews and Friday grosses remain key catalysts ahead of the April 3 wide release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office
>10m 89%
9-10m 3.3%
8-9m 2.1%
7-8m 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
<7m
2%
7-8m
2%
8-9m
2%
9-10m
3%
>10m
89%
>10m 89%
9-10m 3.3%
8-9m 2.1%
7-8m 2.0%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
<7m
$1,436 交易量
2%
7-8m
$644 交易量
2%
8-9m
$707 交易量
2%
9-10m
$702 交易量
3%
>10m
$3,601 交易量
89%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "The Drama" surpassing $10 million in its domestic opening weekend at 89% implied probability, driven by robust pre-sales that have already outperformed A24's recent rom-com "Materialists" and industry tracking estimates ranging from $13-25 million. Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power—building on her "Challengers" $15 million debut—combined with A24's counterprogramming appeal against family tentpoles like "Project Hail Mary," underpins this positioning, further bolstered by fresh early reviews yielding an 88-90% Rotten Tomatoes score praising the duo's edgy chemistry in Kristoffer Borgli's dark wedding comedy. While lower tiers reflect minimal worst-case walk-up risks, Thursday previews and Friday grosses remain key catalysts ahead of the April 3 wide release.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$7,090结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "The Drama" surpassing $10 million in its domestic opening weekend at 89% implied probability, driven by robust pre-sales that have already outperformed A24's recent rom-com "Materialists" and industry tracking estimates ranging from $13-25 million. Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power—building on her "Challengers" $15 million debut—combined with A24's counterprogramming appeal against family tentpoles like "Project Hail Mary," underpins this positioning, further bolstered by fresh early reviews yielding an 88-90% Rotten Tomatoes score praising the duo's edgy chemistry in Kristoffer Borgli's dark wedding comedy. While lower tiers reflect minimal worst-case walk-up risks, Thursday previews and Friday grosses remain key catalysts ahead of the April 3 wide release.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 3 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$7,090结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "The Drama" surpassing $10 million in its domestic opening weekend at 89% implied probability, driven by robust pre-sales that have already outperformed A24's recent rom-com "Materialists" and industry tracking estimates ranging from $13-25 million. Zendaya and Robert Pattinson's star power—building on her "Challengers" $15 million debut—combined with A24's counterprogramming appeal against family tentpoles like "Project Hail Mary," underpins this positioning, further bolstered by fresh early reviews yielding an 88-90% Rotten Tomatoes score praising the duo's edgy chemistry in Kristoffer Borgli's dark wedding comedy. While lower tiers reflect minimal worst-case walk-up risks, Thursday previews and Friday grosses remain key catalysts ahead of the April 3 wide release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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