Project Hail Mary maintains a flawless 100% implied probability as the highest-grossing film for the March 27-29 weekend, fueled by its blockbuster $80.6 million domestic opening the prior frame—2026's biggest debut—and a robust second-weekend hold of $54.5 million, surpassing holdover Hoppers ($12 million) and new releases like They Will Kill You ($5 million). Ryan Gosling's star draw, Phil Lord and Christopher Miller's direction, and strong word-of-mouth from the Andy Weir bestseller adaptation propelled exceptional legs, with a modest 32% drop defying typical sci-fi declines. Trader consensus solidified post-Friday estimates showing an insurmountable lead. Realistic upsets would have required a new entrant exceeding $60 million—unprecedented without franchise backing—or severe weather disrupting playdates, neither of which materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest grossing movie this weekend (March 27)
Highest grossing movie this weekend (March 27)
Project Hail Mary 100.0%
Hoppers <1%
They Will Kill You <1%
Ready or Not 2: Here I Come <1%
$28,580 交易量
$28,580 交易量
2026-03-30
Hoppers
No
They Will Kill You
No
Ready or Not 2: Here I Come
No
Project Hail Mary
Yes
Reminders of Him
No
Project Hail Mary 100.0%
Hoppers <1%
They Will Kill You <1%
Ready or Not 2: Here I Come <1%
$28,580 交易量
$28,580 交易量
2026-03-30
Hoppers
$0 交易量
No
They Will Kill You
$11,845 交易量
No
Ready or Not 2: Here I Come
$0 交易量
No
Project Hail Mary
$16,734 交易量
Yes
Reminders of Him
$0 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of March 27 - 29. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".Project Hail Mary maintains a flawless 100% implied probability as the highest-grossing film for the March 27-29 weekend, fueled by its blockbuster $80.6 million domestic opening the prior frame—2026's biggest debut—and a robust second-weekend hold of $54.5 million, surpassing holdover Hoppers ($12 million) and new releases like They Will Kill You ($5 million). Ryan Gosling's star draw, Phil Lord and Christopher Miller's direction, and strong word-of-mouth from the Andy Weir bestseller adaptation propelled exceptional legs, with a modest 32% drop defying typical sci-fi declines. Trader consensus solidified post-Friday estimates showing an insurmountable lead. Realistic upsets would have required a new entrant exceeding $60 million—unprecedented without franchise backing—or severe weather disrupting playdates, neither of which materialized.
This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of March 27 - 29. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".
If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
交易量
$28,580结束日期
2026-03-30市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of March 27 - 29. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".Project Hail Mary maintains a flawless 100% implied probability as the highest-grossing film for the March 27-29 weekend, fueled by its blockbuster $80.6 million domestic opening the prior frame—2026's biggest debut—and a robust second-weekend hold of $54.5 million, surpassing holdover Hoppers ($12 million) and new releases like They Will Kill You ($5 million). Ryan Gosling's star draw, Phil Lord and Christopher Miller's direction, and strong word-of-mouth from the Andy Weir bestseller adaptation propelled exceptional legs, with a modest 32% drop defying typical sci-fi declines. Trader consensus solidified post-Friday estimates showing an insurmountable lead. Realistic upsets would have required a new entrant exceeding $60 million—unprecedented without franchise backing—or severe weather disrupting playdates, neither of which materialized.
This market will resolve according to the film which grosses the most domestically in theaters for the 3 day weekend of March 27 - 29. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".
If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$28,580结束日期
2026-03-30市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Project Hail Mary maintains a flawless 100% implied probability as the highest-grossing film for the March 27-29 weekend, fueled by its blockbuster $80.6 million domestic opening the prior frame—2026's biggest debut—and a robust second-weekend hold of $54.5 million, surpassing holdover Hoppers ($12 million) and new releases like They Will Kill You ($5 million). Ryan Gosling's star draw, Phil Lord and Christopher Miller's direction, and strong word-of-mouth from the Andy Weir bestseller adaptation propelled exceptional legs, with a modest 32% drop defying typical sci-fi declines. Trader consensus solidified post-Friday estimates showing an insurmountable lead. Realistic upsets would have required a new entrant exceeding $60 million—unprecedented without franchise backing—or severe weather disrupting playdates, neither of which materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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