Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the biggest opening week of 2026 because a recent poll of more than 700 industry experts named it the year’s top earner by a wide margin, citing its December 18 release, Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, and the return of key MCU stars. This late-year positioning as a tentpole event film aligns with historical patterns where Avengers entries generate massive opening weekends through franchise momentum and broad audience appeal. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits in second place thanks to its July 31 date and strong presale tracking, though it trails in overall anticipation. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and other animated or franchise titles like Toy Story 5 register lower probabilities, reflecting more modest opening expectations compared with the superhero event slate. Upcoming trailer releases and tracking updates could further shape these implied odds as the year progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 13%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 5.9%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 5.2%
$14,578 交易量
$14,578 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
13%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
6%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
5%
Toy Story 5
3%
Dune: Messiah
3%
The Odyssey
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
Avengers: Doomsday 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 13%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 5.9%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 5.2%
$14,578 交易量
$14,578 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
$897 交易量
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$661 交易量
13%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$582 交易量
6%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$886 交易量
5%
Toy Story 5
$571 交易量
3%
Dune: Messiah
$739 交易量
3%
The Odyssey
$696 交易量
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$1,182 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the biggest opening week of 2026 because a recent poll of more than 700 industry experts named it the year’s top earner by a wide margin, citing its December 18 release, Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, and the return of key MCU stars. This late-year positioning as a tentpole event film aligns with historical patterns where Avengers entries generate massive opening weekends through franchise momentum and broad audience appeal. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits in second place thanks to its July 31 date and strong presale tracking, though it trails in overall anticipation. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and other animated or franchise titles like Toy Story 5 register lower probabilities, reflecting more modest opening expectations compared with the superhero event slate. Upcoming trailer releases and tracking updates could further shape these implied odds as the year progresses.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$14,578结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the biggest opening week of 2026 because a recent poll of more than 700 industry experts named it the year’s top earner by a wide margin, citing its December 18 release, Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, and the return of key MCU stars. This late-year positioning as a tentpole event film aligns with historical patterns where Avengers entries generate massive opening weekends through franchise momentum and broad audience appeal. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits in second place thanks to its July 31 date and strong presale tracking, though it trails in overall anticipation. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and other animated or franchise titles like Toy Story 5 register lower probabilities, reflecting more modest opening expectations compared with the superhero event slate. Upcoming trailer releases and tracking updates could further shape these implied odds as the year progresses.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$14,578结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the biggest opening week of 2026 because a recent poll of more than 700 industry experts named it the year’s top earner by a wide margin, citing its December 18 release, Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, and the return of key MCU stars. This late-year positioning as a tentpole event film aligns with historical patterns where Avengers entries generate massive opening weekends through franchise momentum and broad audience appeal. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits in second place thanks to its July 31 date and strong presale tracking, though it trails in overall anticipation. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and other animated or franchise titles like Toy Story 5 register lower probabilities, reflecting more modest opening expectations compared with the superhero event slate. Upcoming trailer releases and tracking updates could further shape these implied odds as the year progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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