Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the slim jury frontrunner at 32.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026's jury vote winner, propelled by Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse"—a polished pop ballad unveiled March 1 with powerhouse vocals and sophisticated production that juries historically favor in national selections. France trails closely at 27%, buoyed by 17-year-old Monroe's "Regarde!" (revealed March 6), blending lyrical opera with modern pop for strong precursor poll appeal among critics. Finland's overall lead falters in jury projections due to heavier televote leanings, while Denmark and Czechia lurk with genre-bait entries. Semifinal running orders released April 2 add positioning intrigue ahead of Vienna rehearsals and May 12/14 semis, where vocal delivery and staging could swing momentum in this tight race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲歌唱大赛:评审团获奖者
2026年欧洲歌唱大赛:评审团获奖者
澳大利亚 33%
法国 27%
芬兰 13%
丹麦 9%
$782,060 交易量
$782,060 交易量
澳大利亚
33%
法国
27%
芬兰
13%
丹麦
9%
捷克
4%
瑞典
2%
马耳他
2%
塞尔维亚
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
希腊
2%
意大利
2%
拉脱维亚
1%
乌克兰
1%
以色列
1%
立陶宛
1%
保加利亚
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
德国
1%
克罗地亚
1%
波兰
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
黑山
1%
奥地利
1%
葡萄牙
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
1%
英国
1%
圣马力诺
<1%
挪威
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
佐治亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
卢森堡
<1%
瑞士
<1%
比利时
<1%
澳大利亚 33%
法国 27%
芬兰 13%
丹麦 9%
$782,060 交易量
$782,060 交易量
澳大利亚
33%
法国
27%
芬兰
13%
丹麦
9%
捷克
4%
瑞典
2%
马耳他
2%
塞尔维亚
2%
罗马尼亚
2%
希腊
2%
意大利
2%
拉脱维亚
1%
乌克兰
1%
以色列
1%
立陶宛
1%
保加利亚
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
德国
1%
克罗地亚
1%
波兰
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
黑山
1%
奥地利
1%
葡萄牙
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
1%
英国
1%
圣马力诺
<1%
挪威
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
佐治亚
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
卢森堡
<1%
瑞士
<1%
比利时
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间: Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the slim jury frontrunner at 32.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026's jury vote winner, propelled by Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse"—a polished pop ballad unveiled March 1 with powerhouse vocals and sophisticated production that juries historically favor in national selections. France trails closely at 27%, buoyed by 17-year-old Monroe's "Regarde!" (revealed March 6), blending lyrical opera with modern pop for strong precursor poll appeal among critics. Finland's overall lead falters in jury projections due to heavier televote leanings, while Denmark and Czechia lurk with genre-bait entries. Semifinal running orders released April 2 add positioning intrigue ahead of Vienna rehearsals and May 12/14 semis, where vocal delivery and staging could swing momentum in this tight race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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