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icon for 2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛

2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛

icon for 2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛

2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛

$494,494 交易量

2026-05-12
Polymarket

$494,494 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 芬兰

芬兰

$334,301 交易量

98%

icon for 瑞典

瑞典

$4,129 交易量

97%

icon for 希腊

希腊

$5,141 交易量

97%

icon for 以色列

以色列

$19,737 交易量

92%

icon for 摩尔多瓦

摩尔多瓦

$19,000 交易量

89%

icon for 克罗地亚

克罗地亚

$8,691 交易量

78%

icon for 塞尔维亚

塞尔维亚

$6,391 交易量

78%

icon for 立陶宛

立陶宛

$3,642 交易量

65%

icon for 黑山

黑山

$7,758 交易量

54%

icon for 格鲁吉亚

格鲁吉亚

$5,248 交易量

46%

icon for 波兰

波兰

$9,057 交易量

45%

icon for 爱沙尼亚

爱沙尼亚

$17,204 交易量

40%

icon for 葡萄牙

葡萄牙

$35,039 交易量

40%

icon for 比利时

比利时

$10,151 交易量

31%

icon for 圣马力诺

圣马力诺

$9,005 交易量

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certain qualification odds to Finland (98%), Sweden (97%), and Greece (97%) from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna, propelled by juggernaut entries—"Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Felicia's "My System," and Akylas' "Ferto"—which dominated preview stages at Eurovision in Concert last week, showcasing vocal firepower and staging potential amid Nordic-Balkan voting blocs. Israel (93%), Moldova (88%), Serbia (79%), and Croatia (76%) follow, leveraging diaspora support and regional televote strength, while Lithuania (67%), Montenegro (57%), and Poland (46%) vie for the final spots in a crowded field of 15. First rehearsals next week could spark shifts via live previews, with $493k in volume underscoring skin-in-the-game foresight.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$494,494
结束日期
2026-05-12
市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certain qualification odds to Finland (98%), Sweden (97%), and Greece (97%) from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna, propelled by juggernaut entries—"Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Felicia's "My System," and Akylas' "Ferto"—which dominated preview stages at Eurovision in Concert last week, showcasing vocal firepower and staging potential amid Nordic-Balkan voting blocs. Israel (93%), Moldova (88%), Serbia (79%), and Croatia (76%) follow, leveraging diaspora support and regional televote strength, while Lithuania (67%), Montenegro (57%), and Poland (46%) vie for the final spots in a crowded field of 15. First rehearsals next week could spark shifts via live previews, with $493k in volume underscoring skin-in-the-game foresight.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$494,494
结束日期
2026-05-12
市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 15 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"芬兰"，概率为 98%，其次是"瑞典"，概率为 97%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 98¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛"已产生 $494.5K 的总交易量（自Jan 16, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 15 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛"的当前领先者是"芬兰"，概率为 98%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 98%。紧随其后的结果是"瑞典"，概率为 97%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年欧洲电视网：首场半决赛"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。