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特朗普通过以下方式解密新的UFO文件…… ?

Market icon

特朗普通过以下方式解密新的UFO文件…… ?

$118,696 交易量

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$118,696 交易量

Polymarket

3月31日

$95,950 交易量

8%

4月30日

$12,524 交易量

35%

12月31日

$10,222 交易量

76%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Trump has pledged to declassify UFO files—now termed unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP)—as part of broader transparency efforts on national security topics, most recently reaffirming this in a December 2024 podcast interview where he stated he "would" release them. No such executive action has occurred, as his term begins with inauguration on January 20, 2025, granting authority via presidential directives or orders through agencies like the Department of Defense and Director of National Intelligence. Recent context includes the Pentagon's 2024 AARO report reiterating no evidence of extraterrestrial technology amid ongoing congressional hearings spurred by whistleblowers like David Grusch. Traders weigh competing inaugural priorities, cabinet confirmations, and historical delays in declassifications against his stated intent.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.

Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.

The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$118,696
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Trump has pledged to declassify UFO files—now termed unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP)—as part of broader transparency efforts on national security topics, most recently reaffirming this in a December 2024 podcast interview where he stated he "would" release them. No such executive action has occurred, as his term begins with inauguration on January 20, 2025, granting authority via presidential directives or orders through agencies like the Department of Defense and Director of National Intelligence. Recent context includes the Pentagon's 2024 AARO report reiterating no evidence of extraterrestrial technology amid ongoing congressional hearings spurred by whistleblowers like David Grusch. Traders weigh competing inaugural priorities, cabinet confirmations, and historical delays in declassifications against his stated intent.

President-elect Trump has pledged to declassify UFO files—now termed unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP)—as part of broader transparency efforts on national security topics, most recently reaffirming this in a December 2024 podcast interview where he stated he "would" release them. No such executive action has occurred, as his term begins with inauguration on January 20, 2025, granting authority via presidential directives or orders through agencies like the Department of Defense and Director of National Intelligence. Recent context includes the Pentagon's 2024 AARO report reiterating no evidence of extraterrestrial technology amid ongoing congressional hearings spurred by whistleblowers like David Grusch. Traders weigh competing inaugural priorities, cabinet confirmations, and historical delays in declassifications against his stated intent.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"特朗普通过以下方式解密新的UFO文件…… ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12月31日",概率为 77%,其次是"4月30日",概率为 35%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 77¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 77%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普通过以下方式解密新的UFO文件…… ?"已产生 $118.7K 的总交易量(自Feb 21, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普通过以下方式解密新的UFO文件…… ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普通过以下方式解密新的UFO文件…… ?"的当前领先者是"12月31日",概率为 77%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 77%。紧随其后的结果是"4月30日",概率为 35%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普通过以下方式解密新的UFO文件…… ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。