Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 225k-250k first-week units for Kanye West's 'Bully' at 26.5% implied probability, reflecting Hits Daily Double's 250k-275k projection amid a strong streaming debut of 33.2 million Spotify plays on day one—third-biggest rap opening of 2026 despite a six-hour tracking loss—yet tempered by the album's multiple delays, lack of major label support, radio play, or DSP bundles. Lower bins like 150k-175k (24%) gain traction from Ye's recent sales trajectories post-Vultures, with pure sales pre-orders nearing 100k but walk-ups uncertain; 300k+ lags at 9.5% due to historical precedents. Key swings hinge on sustained streams through Thursday's chart lock and mid-week Luminate updates, as fan-driven Stationhead pushes vie against fading hype.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Kanye West “欺负”第一周专辑销售? (下限)
Kanye West “欺负”第一周专辑销售? (下限)
17.5万-20万 35%
22.5万-25万 26%
150k-175k 24%
27.5万-30万 22%
少于15万
19%
150k-175k
24%
17.5万-20万
21%
20万-22.5万
20%
22.5万-25万
26%
25万-27.5万
18%
27.5万-30万
22%
30万+
10%
17.5万-20万 35%
22.5万-25万 26%
150k-175k 24%
27.5万-30万 22%
少于15万
19%
150k-175k
24%
17.5万-20万
21%
20万-22.5万
20%
22.5万-25万
26%
25万-27.5万
18%
27.5万-30万
22%
30万+
10%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间: Mar 30, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 225k-250k first-week units for Kanye West's 'Bully' at 26.5% implied probability, reflecting Hits Daily Double's 250k-275k projection amid a strong streaming debut of 33.2 million Spotify plays on day one—third-biggest rap opening of 2026 despite a six-hour tracking loss—yet tempered by the album's multiple delays, lack of major label support, radio play, or DSP bundles. Lower bins like 150k-175k (24%) gain traction from Ye's recent sales trajectories post-Vultures, with pure sales pre-orders nearing 100k but walk-ups uncertain; 300k+ lags at 9.5% due to historical precedents. Key swings hinge on sustained streams through Thursday's chart lock and mid-week Luminate updates, as fan-driven Stationhead pushes vie against fading hype.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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