Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Kanye West's "Bully" under 300k first-week US album sales at 83.5% implied probability, reflecting Ye's diminished commercial clout after antisemitic controversies, brand severances like Adidas, and lackluster recent debuts—Vultures 1 at 148k units, Vultures 2 even lower. Sparse promotion, no major features from A-listers, and fan fatigue from delays position sub-300k as the baseline, with 300k-400k (8%) viable only on viral streaming spikes. Recent leaks of raw tracks have cooled hype without boosting pre-save numbers, while chart rivals like Drake and Taylor Swift dominate holiday windows, capping upside for this December drop. Resolution hinges on Luminate data next week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
<300k 84%
300k-400k 8%
800k-900k 3.5%
700k-800k 3.0%
<300k
84%
300k-400k
8%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
1%
600k-700k
2%
700k-800k
3%
800k-900k
3%
900k+
<1%
<300k 84%
300k-400k 8%
800k-900k 3.5%
700k-800k 3.0%
<300k
84%
300k-400k
8%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
1%
600k-700k
2%
700k-800k
3%
800k-900k
3%
900k+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间: Mar 18, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Kanye West's "Bully" under 300k first-week US album sales at 83.5% implied probability, reflecting Ye's diminished commercial clout after antisemitic controversies, brand severances like Adidas, and lackluster recent debuts—Vultures 1 at 148k units, Vultures 2 even lower. Sparse promotion, no major features from A-listers, and fan fatigue from delays position sub-300k as the baseline, with 300k-400k (8%) viable only on viral streaming spikes. Recent leaks of raw tracks have cooled hype without boosting pre-save numbers, while chart rivals like Drake and Taylor Swift dominate holiday windows, capping upside for this December drop. Resolution hinges on Luminate data next week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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