Skip to main content
icon for 奥利维亚·罗德里戈( Olivia Rodrigo )会不会发行新的原创专

奥利维亚·罗德里戈( Olivia Rodrigo )会不会发行新的原创专

icon for 奥利维亚·罗德里戈( Olivia Rodrigo )会不会发行新的原创专

奥利维亚·罗德里戈( Olivia Rodrigo )会不会发行新的原创专

$13,942 交易量

2026-08-31
Polymarket

$13,942 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 8月31日

8月31日

$13,732 交易量

100%

icon for 6月12日

6月12日

$210 交易量

83%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. Olivia Rodrigo’s highly anticipated third studio album, “you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love,” is confirmed for a June 12, 2026 release through Geffen Records, with lead singles “drop dead” and “the cure” already out and preorders live. After wrapping her Guts world tour in 2025, Rodrigo spent late 2025 and early 2026 in the studio with longtime collaborator Dan Nigro, experimenting with new sounds while shifting from breakup anthems toward more layered love songs that incorporate anxiety and obsession. Recent interviews, including with Zane Lowe and British Vogue, highlight her deliberate campaign to build momentum ahead of the drop. With the release date just days away and no reported delays, trader sentiment reflects near-certainty that an original album will arrive on schedule, though any last-minute postponement tied to final mixing or marketing adjustments could still influence outcomes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
交易量
$13,942
结束日期
2026-08-31
市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. Olivia Rodrigo’s highly anticipated third studio album, “you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love,” is confirmed for a June 12, 2026 release through Geffen Records, with lead singles “drop dead” and “the cure” already out and preorders live. After wrapping her Guts world tour in 2025, Rodrigo spent late 2025 and early 2026 in the studio with longtime collaborator Dan Nigro, experimenting with new sounds while shifting from breakup anthems toward more layered love songs that incorporate anxiety and obsession. Recent interviews, including with Zane Lowe and British Vogue, highlight her deliberate campaign to build momentum ahead of the drop. With the release date just days away and no reported delays, trader sentiment reflects near-certainty that an original album will arrive on schedule, though any last-minute postponement tied to final mixing or marketing adjustments could still influence outcomes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
交易量
$13,942
结束日期
2026-08-31
市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"奥利维亚·罗德里戈( Olivia Rodrigo )会不会发行新的原创专"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"8月31日",概率为 100%,其次是"6月12日",概率为 83%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"奥利维亚·罗德里戈( Olivia Rodrigo )会不会发行新的原创专"已产生 $13.9K 的总交易量(自Mar 18, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"奥利维亚·罗德里戈( Olivia Rodrigo )会不会发行新的原创专"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"奥利维亚·罗德里戈( Olivia Rodrigo )会不会发行新的原创专"的当前领先者是"8月31日",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"6月12日",概率为 83%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"奥利维亚·罗德里戈( Olivia Rodrigo )会不会发行新的原创专"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。