Trader sentiment for KPop groups releasing songs in 2026 hinges on military enlistment timelines and contract renewals, with BTS leading at high implied probabilities (around 85%) following confirmed discharges for RM, V, Jimin, and Jungkook by mid-2025, paving the way for a full-group comeback per HYBE's roadmap. Blackpink's group activities remain uncertain post-YG renewal focused on solos, trading at 40%, while perennial acts like Stray Kids (95%) and SEVENTEEN (92%) benefit from stable JYP/Pledis contracts and no major hiatuses. Watch Q4 2025 agency fan-meets and SM/HYBE earnings for renewal hints on NCT and NewJeans, amid industry pressures from the "7-year curse" and saturated comebacks. Unpredictable solo pivots could shift odds rapidly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于哪些KPop乐队将在2026年发行歌曲？
哪些KPop乐队将在2026年发行歌曲？
$54,883 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
Illit
93%
Twice
92%
Babymonster
65%
ITZY
75%
LE SSERAFIM
62%
NewJeans
50%
$54,883 交易量
Illit
$0 交易量
93%
Twice
$12,021 交易量
92%
Babymonster
$0 交易量
65%
ITZY
$0 交易量
75%
LE SSERAFIM
$0 交易量
62%
NewJeans
$0 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
市场开放时间： Feb 3, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
交易量
$54,883结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
交易量
$54,883结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for KPop groups releasing songs in 2026 hinges on military enlistment timelines and contract renewals, with BTS leading at high implied probabilities (around 85%) following confirmed discharges for RM, V, Jimin, and Jungkook by mid-2025, paving the way for a full-group comeback per HYBE's roadmap. Blackpink's group activities remain uncertain post-YG renewal focused on solos, trading at 40%, while perennial acts like Stray Kids (95%) and SEVENTEEN (92%) benefit from stable JYP/Pledis contracts and no major hiatuses. Watch Q4 2025 agency fan-meets and SM/HYBE earnings for renewal hints on NCT and NewJeans, amid industry pressures from the "7-year curse" and saturated comebacks. Unpredictable solo pivots could shift odds rapidly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题