Traders overwhelmingly back BTS's "Arirang" first-week album sales falling under 3 million (100% implied probability), driven by the complete absence of any confirmed release or announcement from HYBE for such a project. With the group on indefinite hiatus amid ongoing military service for members like RM, Suga, Jimin, V, and Jungkook—only Jin and J-Hope discharged— no promotional rollout, presales, or streaming debut has materialized, rendering sales at zero. Historical BTS juggernauts like "Proof" (over 2 million first week) underscore their potential, but current inactivity locks in the under consensus. An upset would require an unprecedented stealth drop with massive last-minute buzz, though proximity to no event date makes this implausible; eyes remain on the full 2025 reunion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于BTS “Arirang”第一周专辑销售?
BTS “Arirang”第一周专辑销售?
少于300万 100.0%
300万-350万 <1%
350万-400万 <1%
400万-450万 <1%
$161,832 交易量
$161,832 交易量
少于300万
100%
300万-350万
<1%
350万-400万
<1%
400万-450万
<1%
450万-500万
<1%
500万-550万
<1%
550万-600万
<1%
600万+
<1%
少于300万 100.0%
300万-350万 <1%
350万-400万 <1%
400万-450万 <1%
$161,832 交易量
$161,832 交易量
少于300万
100%
300万-350万
<1%
350万-400万
<1%
400万-450万
<1%
450万-500万
<1%
500万-550万
<1%
550万-600万
<1%
600万+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间: Feb 3, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 是
争议期
最终
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 是
争议期
最终
Traders overwhelmingly back BTS's "Arirang" first-week album sales falling under 3 million (100% implied probability), driven by the complete absence of any confirmed release or announcement from HYBE for such a project. With the group on indefinite hiatus amid ongoing military service for members like RM, Suga, Jimin, V, and Jungkook—only Jin and J-Hope discharged— no promotional rollout, presales, or streaming debut has materialized, rendering sales at zero. Historical BTS juggernauts like "Proof" (over 2 million first week) underscore their potential, but current inactivity locks in the under consensus. An upset would require an unprecedented stealth drop with massive last-minute buzz, though proximity to no event date makes this implausible; eyes remain on the full 2025 reunion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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