Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 1320-1519 X posts for Elon Musk in April 2026, implying a daily pace of 44-50, directly extrapolating his consistent March trajectory from resolved short-term markets like March 20-27 (averaging 43-46 posts/day) and ongoing trackers showing no deviation. This closely matched field among 1320-1359 (11.7%), 1400-1439 (10.8%), and adjacent bins reflects steady engagement on Tesla updates, xAI advancements, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary, without surges from breaking news in the past week. Differentiators include potential viral controversies or product announcements early next month, which historically spike volume 10-20%, versus quieter periods during travel or focus on ventures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于1320-1359 11.7%
1400-1439 10.8%
1360-1399 9.7%
1440-1479 8.5%
$4,379,599 交易量
$4,379,599 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
1%
840-879
<1%
880-919
1%
920-959
2%
960-999
1%
1000-1039
1%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
4%
1160-1199
4%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
6%
1280-1319
8%
1320-1359
12%
1360-1399
10%
1400-1439
11%
1440-1479
9%
1480-1519
7%
1520-1559
6%
1560-1599
6%
1600-1679
2%
1680-1759
2%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
3%
1920-1999
2%
2000+
1%
1320-1359 11.7%
1400-1439 10.8%
1360-1399 9.7%
1440-1479 8.5%
$4,379,599 交易量
$4,379,599 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
1%
840-879
<1%
880-919
1%
920-959
2%
960-999
1%
1000-1039
1%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
4%
1160-1199
4%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
6%
1280-1319
8%
1320-1359
12%
1360-1399
10%
1400-1439
11%
1440-1479
9%
1480-1519
7%
1520-1559
6%
1560-1599
6%
1600-1679
2%
1680-1759
2%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
3%
1920-1999
2%
2000+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 1320-1519 X posts for Elon Musk in April 2026, implying a daily pace of 44-50, directly extrapolating his consistent March trajectory from resolved short-term markets like March 20-27 (averaging 43-46 posts/day) and ongoing trackers showing no deviation. This closely matched field among 1320-1359 (11.7%), 1400-1439 (10.8%), and adjacent bins reflects steady engagement on Tesla updates, xAI advancements, SpaceX milestones, and political commentary, without surges from breaking news in the past week. Differentiators include potential viral controversies or product announcements early next month, which historically spike volume 10-20%, versus quieter periods during travel or focus on ventures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题