Incumbent Ro Khanna dominates trader consensus at 97% probability for advancing from California's 17th Congressional District top-two primary, driven by his $16 million cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing challengers—and track record of 60-70% primary wins in this solidly Democratic Silicon Valley seat, where Kamala Harris won 67% in 2024. Tech entrepreneur Ethan Agarwal follows at 70%, gaining from reported Silicon Valley support fractures with Khanna over issues like a proposed wealth tax highlighted in April reporting, outpacing Republican repeat candidate Ritesh Tandon at 28% amid a weak GOP field. Ballots began mailing May 4, with voter registration closing May 18 before the June 2 primary; early voting through June 1 could influence turnout in this low-drama race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$53,848 交易量
2026-06-02
罗·卡纳
94%
伊桑·阿加瓦尔
69%
Ritesh Tandon
27%
Ha Phan
15%
尼古拉斯·菲南
2%
$53,848 交易量
罗·卡纳
$11,126 交易量
94%
伊桑·阿加瓦尔
$2,682 交易量
69%
Ritesh Tandon
$6,093 交易量
27%
Ha Phan
$9,123 交易量
15%
尼古拉斯·菲南
$24,824 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ro Khanna dominates trader consensus at 97% probability for advancing from California's 17th Congressional District top-two primary, driven by his $16 million cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing challengers—and track record of 60-70% primary wins in this solidly Democratic Silicon Valley seat, where Kamala Harris won 67% in 2024. Tech entrepreneur Ethan Agarwal follows at 70%, gaining from reported Silicon Valley support fractures with Khanna over issues like a proposed wealth tax highlighted in April reporting, outpacing Republican repeat candidate Ritesh Tandon at 28% amid a weak GOP field. Ballots began mailing May 4, with voter registration closing May 18 before the June 2 primary; early voting through June 1 could influence turnout in this low-drama race.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 29, 2025, 5:02 PM ET
交易量
$53,848结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ro Khanna dominates trader consensus at 97% probability for advancing from California's 17th Congressional District top-two primary, driven by his $16 million cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing challengers—and track record of 60-70% primary wins in this solidly Democratic Silicon Valley seat, where Kamala Harris won 67% in 2024. Tech entrepreneur Ethan Agarwal follows at 70%, gaining from reported Silicon Valley support fractures with Khanna over issues like a proposed wealth tax highlighted in April reporting, outpacing Republican repeat candidate Ritesh Tandon at 28% amid a weak GOP field. Ballots began mailing May 4, with voter registration closing May 18 before the June 2 primary; early voting through June 1 could influence turnout in this low-drama race.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$53,848结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Ro Khanna dominates trader consensus at 97% probability for advancing from California's 17th Congressional District top-two primary, driven by his $16 million cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing challengers—and track record of 60-70% primary wins in this solidly Democratic Silicon Valley seat, where Kamala Harris won 67% in 2024. Tech entrepreneur Ethan Agarwal follows at 70%, gaining from reported Silicon Valley support fractures with Khanna over issues like a proposed wealth tax highlighted in April reporting, outpacing Republican repeat candidate Ritesh Tandon at 28% amid a weak GOP field. Ballots began mailing May 4, with voter registration closing May 18 before the June 2 primary; early voting through June 1 could influence turnout in this low-drama race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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