Incumbent Ro Khanna dominates trader consensus at 98% implied probability to advance from California's 17th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, buoyed by his $15 million cash-on-hand advantage, long-held Silicon Valley seat in the D+21 district, and consistent large-margin victories. Challenger Ethan Agarwal, a tech entrepreneur who entered the race March 3, trades at 57% to join him, fueled by recent momentum from endorsements by figures like Chamath Palihapitiya and Garry Tan, plus attacks on Khanna's $600 million in disclosed stock trades and support for a wealth tax on billionaires amid intra-Democratic tech tensions. Low-funded Republicans Jennie Ha Phan (21%) and Ritesh Tandon (22%) trail, as the heavily Democratic electorate favors two Democrats advancing; ballots mail in early May, with escalating personal attacks unlikely to shift entrenched dynamics absent new polling or scandals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$43,664 交易量
2026-06-02
罗·卡纳
98%
Ha Phan
21%
Ritesh Tandon
23%
尼古拉斯·菲南
8%
伊桑·阿加瓦尔
57%
$43,664 交易量
罗·卡纳
$8,436 交易量
98%
Ha Phan
$7,896 交易量
21%
Ritesh Tandon
$5,069 交易量
23%
尼古拉斯·菲南
$22,264 交易量
8%
伊桑·阿加瓦尔
$0 交易量
57%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ro Khanna dominates trader consensus at 98% implied probability to advance from California's 17th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, buoyed by his $15 million cash-on-hand advantage, long-held Silicon Valley seat in the D+21 district, and consistent large-margin victories. Challenger Ethan Agarwal, a tech entrepreneur who entered the race March 3, trades at 57% to join him, fueled by recent momentum from endorsements by figures like Chamath Palihapitiya and Garry Tan, plus attacks on Khanna's $600 million in disclosed stock trades and support for a wealth tax on billionaires amid intra-Democratic tech tensions. Low-funded Republicans Jennie Ha Phan (21%) and Ritesh Tandon (22%) trail, as the heavily Democratic electorate favors two Democrats advancing; ballots mail in early May, with escalating personal attacks unlikely to shift entrenched dynamics absent new polling or scandals.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 29, 2025, 5:02 PM ET
交易量
$43,664结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ro Khanna dominates trader consensus at 98% implied probability to advance from California's 17th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, buoyed by his $15 million cash-on-hand advantage, long-held Silicon Valley seat in the D+21 district, and consistent large-margin victories. Challenger Ethan Agarwal, a tech entrepreneur who entered the race March 3, trades at 57% to join him, fueled by recent momentum from endorsements by figures like Chamath Palihapitiya and Garry Tan, plus attacks on Khanna's $600 million in disclosed stock trades and support for a wealth tax on billionaires amid intra-Democratic tech tensions. Low-funded Republicans Jennie Ha Phan (21%) and Ritesh Tandon (22%) trail, as the heavily Democratic electorate favors two Democrats advancing; ballots mail in early May, with escalating personal attacks unlikely to shift entrenched dynamics absent new polling or scandals.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$43,664结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Ro Khanna dominates trader consensus at 98% implied probability to advance from California's 17th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, buoyed by his $15 million cash-on-hand advantage, long-held Silicon Valley seat in the D+21 district, and consistent large-margin victories. Challenger Ethan Agarwal, a tech entrepreneur who entered the race March 3, trades at 57% to join him, fueled by recent momentum from endorsements by figures like Chamath Palihapitiya and Garry Tan, plus attacks on Khanna's $600 million in disclosed stock trades and support for a wealth tax on billionaires amid intra-Democratic tech tensions. Low-funded Republicans Jennie Ha Phan (21%) and Ritesh Tandon (22%) trail, as the heavily Democratic electorate favors two Democrats advancing; ballots mail in early May, with escalating personal attacks unlikely to shift entrenched dynamics absent new polling or scandals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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