Incumbent Ro Khanna dominates trader consensus at 97% implied probability to advance from California's June 2 top-two primary in the safely Democratic 17th District, bolstered by his $16 million cash-on-hand advantage as of March 31 and consistent past primary performances above 60% in Silicon Valley strongholds like Sunnyvale and Fremont. Challenger Ethan Agarwal leads for the second spot at 69%, supported by $311,000 in cash amid minimal fundraising from other Democrats like Mike Katz; Republicans Ritesh Tandon (27%, prior nominee) and Jennie Ha Phan (16%) trail but could consolidate anti-incumbent votes in the fragmented field including Libertarian Joe Dehn. No public polls have emerged, with early voting now underway ahead of the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$53,848 交易量
2026-06-02
罗·卡纳
92%
伊桑·阿加瓦尔
69%
Ritesh Tandon
30%
Ha Phan
13%
尼古拉斯·菲南
1%
$53,848 交易量
罗·卡纳
$11,126 交易量
92%
伊桑·阿加瓦尔
$2,682 交易量
69%
Ritesh Tandon
$6,093 交易量
30%
Ha Phan
$9,123 交易量
13%
尼古拉斯·菲南
$24,824 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ro Khanna dominates trader consensus at 97% implied probability to advance from California's June 2 top-two primary in the safely Democratic 17th District, bolstered by his $16 million cash-on-hand advantage as of March 31 and consistent past primary performances above 60% in Silicon Valley strongholds like Sunnyvale and Fremont. Challenger Ethan Agarwal leads for the second spot at 69%, supported by $311,000 in cash amid minimal fundraising from other Democrats like Mike Katz; Republicans Ritesh Tandon (27%, prior nominee) and Jennie Ha Phan (16%) trail but could consolidate anti-incumbent votes in the fragmented field including Libertarian Joe Dehn. No public polls have emerged, with early voting now underway ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 29, 2025, 5:02 PM ET
交易量
$53,848结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ro Khanna dominates trader consensus at 97% implied probability to advance from California's June 2 top-two primary in the safely Democratic 17th District, bolstered by his $16 million cash-on-hand advantage as of March 31 and consistent past primary performances above 60% in Silicon Valley strongholds like Sunnyvale and Fremont. Challenger Ethan Agarwal leads for the second spot at 69%, supported by $311,000 in cash amid minimal fundraising from other Democrats like Mike Katz; Republicans Ritesh Tandon (27%, prior nominee) and Jennie Ha Phan (16%) trail but could consolidate anti-incumbent votes in the fragmented field including Libertarian Joe Dehn. No public polls have emerged, with early voting now underway ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 17th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$53,848结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Ro Khanna dominates trader consensus at 97% implied probability to advance from California's June 2 top-two primary in the safely Democratic 17th District, bolstered by his $16 million cash-on-hand advantage as of March 31 and consistent past primary performances above 60% in Silicon Valley strongholds like Sunnyvale and Fremont. Challenger Ethan Agarwal leads for the second spot at 69%, supported by $311,000 in cash amid minimal fundraising from other Democrats like Mike Katz; Republicans Ritesh Tandon (27%, prior nominee) and Jennie Ha Phan (16%) trail but could consolidate anti-incumbent votes in the fragmented field including Libertarian Joe Dehn. No public polls have emerged, with early voting now underway ahead of the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题