Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Bank of Brazil's March 19-20 Copom meeting, propelled by the central bank's recent 50 basis point cut to 10.50% in early February amid cooling inflation—December IPCA rose just 0.56% monthly and 4.62% annually, hugging the 3%±1.5% target midpoint. Robust 2.9% GDP growth in 2023 and improving fiscal dynamics bolster expectations for continued easing to support recovery without overheating. This positioning could face reversal from upside inflation surprises in services or food, renewed global risk aversion weakening the real, or hawkish Copom rhetoric signaling pause.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于下调 100.0%
提高 <1%
无变化 <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
Mar 17, 2026
提高
否
无变化
否
下调
是
下调 100.0%
提高 <1%
无变化 <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
Mar 17, 2026
提高
$0 交易量
否
无变化
$0 交易量
否
下调
$0 交易量
是
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Bank of Brazil's March 19-20 Copom meeting, propelled by the central bank's recent 50 basis point cut to 10.50% in early February amid cooling inflation—December IPCA rose just 0.56% monthly and 4.62% annually, hugging the 3%±1.5% target midpoint. Robust 2.9% GDP growth in 2023 and improving fiscal dynamics bolster expectations for continued easing to support recovery without overheating. This positioning could face reversal from upside inflation surprises in services or food, renewed global risk aversion weakening the real, or hawkish Copom rhetoric signaling pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 17, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Bank of Brazil's March 19-20 Copom meeting, propelled by the central bank's recent 50 basis point cut to 10.50% in early February amid cooling inflation—December IPCA rose just 0.56% monthly and 4.62% annually, hugging the 3%±1.5% target midpoint. Robust 2.9% GDP growth in 2023 and improving fiscal dynamics bolster expectations for continued easing to support recovery without overheating. This positioning could face reversal from upside inflation surprises in services or food, renewed global risk aversion weakening the real, or hawkish Copom rhetoric signaling pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 17, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Bank of Brazil's March 19-20 Copom meeting, propelled by the central bank's recent 50 basis point cut to 10.50% in early February amid cooling inflation—December IPCA rose just 0.56% monthly and 4.62% annually, hugging the 3%±1.5% target midpoint. Robust 2.9% GDP growth in 2023 and improving fiscal dynamics bolster expectations for continued easing to support recovery without overheating. This positioning could face reversal from upside inflation surprises in services or food, renewed global risk aversion weakening the real, or hawkish Copom rhetoric signaling pause.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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