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政治·主要

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

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政治·主要

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

John Mills 35%

James Richardson 27%

Jerry Carl 24%

Rhett Marques 24%

Polymarket
NEW

$33,291 交易量

John Mills 35%

James Richardson 27%

Jerry Carl 24%

Rhett Marques 24%

Polymarket
NEW

$33,291 交易量

John Mills

$14,754 交易量

35%

James Richardson

$5,184 交易量

27%

Jerry Carl

$0 交易量

24%

Rhett Marques

$0 交易量

24%

James Dees

$0 交易量

24%

Joshua McKee

$0 交易量

24%

Austin Sidwell

$13,353 交易量

13%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary set for May 19, 2026—with a potential June 16 runoff if no candidate exceeds 50%—trader consensus on Polymarket favors retired Navy pilot John Mills at 35% implied probability amid a fragmented eight-candidate field, ahead of James Richardson at 25.5% and a cluster around 17.5% for James Dees, Rhett Marques, and Joshua McKee. The March 18 Alabama Poll showed former Rep. Jerry Carl leading at 28% over state Rep. Marques at 19%, with 53% other or undecided, highlighting vote-splitting dynamics keeping odds tight despite Carl's earlier dominance eroding. Recent narrowing of Carl's lead reflects Marques' fundraising edge and Sen. Katie Britt endorsement, while Mills draws niche conservative support from figures like Mike Lindell; new polls, endorsements, or debates could consolidate frontrunners before early voting.

In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary set for May 19, 2026—with a potential June 16 runoff if no candidate exceeds 50%—trader consensus on Polymarket favors retired Navy pilot John Mills at 35% implied probability amid a fragmented eight-candidate field, ahead of James Richardson at 25.5% and a cluster around 17.5% for James Dees, Rhett Marques, and Joshua McKee. The March 18 Alabama Poll showed former Rep. Jerry Carl leading at 28% over state Rep. Marques at 19%, with 53% other or undecided, highlighting vote-splitting dynamics keeping odds tight despite Carl's earlier dominance eroding. Recent narrowing of Carl's lead reflects Marques' fundraising edge and Sen. Katie Britt endorsement, while Mills draws niche conservative support from figures like Mike Lindell; new polls, endorsements, or debates could consolidate frontrunners before early voting.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary set for May 19, 2026—with a potential June 16 runoff if no candidate exceeds 50%—trader consensus on Polymarket favors retired Navy pilot John Mills at 35% implied probability amid a fragmented eight-candidate field, ahead of James Richardson at 25.5% and a cluster around 17.5% for James Dees, Rhett Marques, and Joshua McKee. The March 18 Alabama Poll showed former Rep. Jerry Carl leading at 28% over state Rep. Marques at 19%, with 53% other or undecided, highlighting vote-splitting dynamics keeping odds tight despite Carl's earlier dominance eroding. Recent narrowing of Carl's lead reflects Marques' fundraising edge and Sen. Katie Britt endorsement, while Mills draws niche conservative support from figures like Mike Lindell; new polls, endorsements, or debates could consolidate frontrunners before early voting.

In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary set for May 19, 2026—with a potential June 16 runoff if no candidate exceeds 50%—trader consensus on Polymarket favors retired Navy pilot John Mills at 35% implied probability amid a fragmented eight-candidate field, ahead of James Richardson at 25.5% and a cluster around 17.5% for James Dees, Rhett Marques, and Joshua McKee. The March 18 Alabama Poll showed former Rep. Jerry Carl leading at 28% over state Rep. Marques at 19%, with 53% other or undecided, highlighting vote-splitting dynamics keeping odds tight despite Carl's earlier dominance eroding. Recent narrowing of Carl's lead reflects Marques' fundraising edge and Sen. Katie Britt endorsement, while Mills draws niche conservative support from figures like Mike Lindell; new polls, endorsements, or debates could consolidate frontrunners before early voting.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"John Mills"，概率为 35%，其次是"James Richardson"，概率为 27%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 35¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 35%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner"已产生 $33.3K 的总交易量（自Mar 26, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner"的当前领先者是"John Mills"，概率为 35%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 35%。紧随其后的结果是"James Richardson"，概率为 27%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"AL-01 Republican Primary Winner"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。