Incumbent Rep. Ritchie Torres commands 81.5% trader consensus in the NY-15 Democratic primary market, reflecting his entrenched position in the heavily Democratic Bronx district, reinforced by former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's endorsement on March 23 and DSA organizer Dalourny Nemorin's campaign suspension on March 26, which consolidates anti-challenger sentiment ahead of the June 23 primary. Former Assemblyman Michael Blake holds 16.5% as the principal challenger, centering his bid on criticism of Torres' pro-Israel stance amid progressive voter activism. Lesser-known candidates Dalourny Nemorin and Amanda Septimo trail at 2.3% and 0.8%, with no recent polls shifting the incumbency-driven dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于里奇·托雷斯 82%
迈克尔·布莱克 16%
达劳尼·内莫林 2.3%
阿曼达·塞普蒂莫 <1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 23, 2026
里奇·托雷斯
82%
迈克尔·布莱克
16%
达劳尼·内莫林
2%
阿曼达·塞普蒂莫
1%
里奇·托雷斯 82%
迈克尔·布莱克 16%
达劳尼·内莫林 2.3%
阿曼达·塞普蒂莫 <1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 23, 2026
里奇·托雷斯
$0 交易量
82%
迈克尔·布莱克
$0 交易量
16%
达劳尼·内莫林
$4,534 交易量
2%
阿曼达·塞普蒂莫
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ritchie Torres commands 81.5% trader consensus in the NY-15 Democratic primary market, reflecting his entrenched position in the heavily Democratic Bronx district, reinforced by former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's endorsement on March 23 and DSA organizer Dalourny Nemorin's campaign suspension on March 26, which consolidates anti-challenger sentiment ahead of the June 23 primary. Former Assemblyman Michael Blake holds 16.5% as the principal challenger, centering his bid on criticism of Torres' pro-Israel stance amid progressive voter activism. Lesser-known candidates Dalourny Nemorin and Amanda Septimo trail at 2.3% and 0.8%, with no recent polls shifting the incumbency-driven dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET
交易量
$4,534结束日期
Jun 23, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ritchie Torres commands 81.5% trader consensus in the NY-15 Democratic primary market, reflecting his entrenched position in the heavily Democratic Bronx district, reinforced by former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's endorsement on March 23 and DSA organizer Dalourny Nemorin's campaign suspension on March 26, which consolidates anti-challenger sentiment ahead of the June 23 primary. Former Assemblyman Michael Blake holds 16.5% as the principal challenger, centering his bid on criticism of Torres' pro-Israel stance amid progressive voter activism. Lesser-known candidates Dalourny Nemorin and Amanda Septimo trail at 2.3% and 0.8%, with no recent polls shifting the incumbency-driven dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$4,534结束日期
Jun 23, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ritchie Torres commands 81.5% trader consensus in the NY-15 Democratic primary market, reflecting his entrenched position in the heavily Democratic Bronx district, reinforced by former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's endorsement on March 23 and DSA organizer Dalourny Nemorin's campaign suspension on March 26, which consolidates anti-challenger sentiment ahead of the June 23 primary. Former Assemblyman Michael Blake holds 16.5% as the principal challenger, centering his bid on criticism of Torres' pro-Israel stance amid progressive voter activism. Lesser-known candidates Dalourny Nemorin and Amanda Septimo trail at 2.3% and 0.8%, with no recent polls shifting the incumbency-driven dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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