Incumbent Ritchie Torres maintains a commanding lead in the NY-15 Democratic primary ahead of the June 23 vote, reflecting his three-term tenure, extensive local endorsements including from House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, superior fundraising, and union support in the Bronx district. Challengers such as former Assembly Member Michael Blake, public defender Dalourny Nemorin, and Amanda Septimo have announced candidacies, yet none have narrowed the gap significantly in recent months. Trader consensus assigns Torres over 90 percent probability of nomination, consistent with historical patterns for well-funded incumbents in safe Democratic seats. A major scandal, health issue, or unexpected surge in challenger momentum could still shift outcomes before primary day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于里奇·托雷斯 93%
迈克尔·布莱克 6.1%
达劳尼·内莫林 1.9%
阿曼达·塞普蒂莫 <1%
$30,632 交易量
$30,632 交易量
2026-06-23
里奇·托雷斯
93%
迈克尔·布莱克
6%
达劳尼·内莫林
2%
阿曼达·塞普蒂莫
<1%
里奇·托雷斯 93%
迈克尔·布莱克 6.1%
达劳尼·内莫林 1.9%
阿曼达·塞普蒂莫 <1%
$30,632 交易量
$30,632 交易量
2026-06-23
里奇·托雷斯
$5,431 交易量
93%
迈克尔·布莱克
$3,520 交易量
6%
达劳尼·内莫林
$14,416 交易量
2%
阿曼达·塞普蒂莫
$7,265 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ritchie Torres maintains a commanding lead in the NY-15 Democratic primary ahead of the June 23 vote, reflecting his three-term tenure, extensive local endorsements including from House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, superior fundraising, and union support in the Bronx district. Challengers such as former Assembly Member Michael Blake, public defender Dalourny Nemorin, and Amanda Septimo have announced candidacies, yet none have narrowed the gap significantly in recent months. Trader consensus assigns Torres over 90 percent probability of nomination, consistent with historical patterns for well-funded incumbents in safe Democratic seats. A major scandal, health issue, or unexpected surge in challenger momentum could still shift outcomes before primary day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET
交易量
$30,632结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ritchie Torres maintains a commanding lead in the NY-15 Democratic primary ahead of the June 23 vote, reflecting his three-term tenure, extensive local endorsements including from House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, superior fundraising, and union support in the Bronx district. Challengers such as former Assembly Member Michael Blake, public defender Dalourny Nemorin, and Amanda Septimo have announced candidacies, yet none have narrowed the gap significantly in recent months. Trader consensus assigns Torres over 90 percent probability of nomination, consistent with historical patterns for well-funded incumbents in safe Democratic seats. A major scandal, health issue, or unexpected surge in challenger momentum could still shift outcomes before primary day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$30,632结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ritchie Torres maintains a commanding lead in the NY-15 Democratic primary ahead of the June 23 vote, reflecting his three-term tenure, extensive local endorsements including from House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, superior fundraising, and union support in the Bronx district. Challengers such as former Assembly Member Michael Blake, public defender Dalourny Nemorin, and Amanda Septimo have announced candidacies, yet none have narrowed the gap significantly in recent months. Trader consensus assigns Torres over 90 percent probability of nomination, consistent with historical patterns for well-funded incumbents in safe Democratic seats. A major scandal, health issue, or unexpected surge in challenger momentum could still shift outcomes before primary day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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