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3月31日的第三大富豪？

Market icon

3月31日的第三大富豪？

杰夫·贝索斯 64%

谢尔盖·布林 32%

拉里·佩奇 2.7%

马克·扎克伯格 2.6%

Polymarket

$317,730 交易量

杰夫·贝索斯 64%

谢尔盖·布林 32%

拉里·佩奇 2.7%

马克·扎克伯格 2.6%

Polymarket

$317,730 交易量

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杰夫·贝索斯

$208,446 交易量

64%

Market icon

谢尔盖·布林

$73,961 交易量

32%

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拉里·佩奇

$3,151 交易量

3%

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马克·扎克伯格

$2,434 交易量

3%

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黄仁勋

$8,297 交易量

1%

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埃隆·马斯克

$8,099 交易量

1%

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贝尔纳·阿尔诺

$3,021 交易量

1%

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拉里·埃里森

$3,225 交易量

<1%

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沃伦·巴菲特

$3,553 交易量

<1%

Market icon

史蒂夫·鲍尔默

$3,545 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Jeff Bezos as the frontrunner at 64% implied probability to rank as the 3rd richest person on March 31, anchored by Amazon's steady net worth trajectory fueled by AWS AI cloud growth and e-commerce strength, holding his fortune around $230 billion per recent Bloomberg updates. Sergey Brin follows at 31%, gaining momentum from Alphabet's 8% stock surge over the past week after Gemini AI breakthroughs and robust ad revenue beats, propelling his wealth toward $195 billion and challenging Bezos closely. Larry Page lags at 2.8% due to marginally lower Alphabet holdings, while Zuckerberg, Huang, and Musk face steeper hurdles from Meta volatility, Nvidia sales, and Tesla's top-spot dominance. Quarter-end stock closes remain the pivotal catalyst amid market swings.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$317,730
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Jeff Bezos as the frontrunner at 64% implied probability to rank as the 3rd richest person on March 31, anchored by Amazon's steady net worth trajectory fueled by AWS AI cloud growth and e-commerce strength, holding his fortune around $230 billion per recent Bloomberg updates. Sergey Brin follows at 31%, gaining momentum from Alphabet's 8% stock surge over the past week after Gemini AI breakthroughs and robust ad revenue beats, propelling his wealth toward $195 billion and challenging Bezos closely. Larry Page lags at 2.8% due to marginally lower Alphabet holdings, while Zuckerberg, Huang, and Musk face steeper hurdles from Meta volatility, Nvidia sales, and Tesla's top-spot dominance. Quarter-end stock closes remain the pivotal catalyst amid market swings.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Jeff Bezos as the frontrunner at 64% implied probability to rank as the 3rd richest person on March 31, anchored by Amazon's steady net worth trajectory fueled by AWS AI cloud growth and e-commerce strength, holding his fortune around $230 billion per recent Bloomberg updates. Sergey Brin follows at 31%, gaining momentum from Alphabet's 8% stock surge over the past week after Gemini AI breakthroughs and robust ad revenue beats, propelling his wealth toward $195 billion and challenging Bezos closely. Larry Page lags at 2.8% due to marginally lower Alphabet holdings, while Zuckerberg, Huang, and Musk face steeper hurdles from Meta volatility, Nvidia sales, and Tesla's top-spot dominance. Quarter-end stock closes remain the pivotal catalyst amid market swings.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"3月31日的第三大富豪？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"杰夫·贝索斯"，概率为 64%，其次是"谢尔盖·布林"，概率为 32%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 64¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 64%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"3月31日的第三大富豪？"已产生 $317.7K 的总交易量（自Jan 31, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"3月31日的第三大富豪？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"3月31日的第三大富豪？"的当前领先者是"杰夫·贝索斯"，概率为 64%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 64%。紧随其后的结果是"谢尔盖·布林"，概率为 32%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"3月31日的第三大富豪？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。