Market icon

3月31日的第三大富豪？

Market icon

3月31日的第三大富豪？

杰夫·贝索斯 63%

谢尔盖·布林 32%

马克·扎克伯格 2.5%

拉里·佩奇 2.1%

Polymarket

$316,694 交易量

杰夫·贝索斯 63%

谢尔盖·布林 32%

马克·扎克伯格 2.5%

拉里·佩奇 2.1%

Polymarket

$316,694 交易量

Market icon

杰夫·贝索斯

$208,405 交易量

63%

Market icon

谢尔盖·布林

$73,961 交易量

32%

Market icon

马克·扎克伯格

$2,255 交易量

3%

Market icon

拉里·佩奇

$3,013 交易量

2%

Market icon

埃隆·马斯克

$8,074 交易量

1%

Market icon

贝尔纳·阿尔诺

$2,829 交易量

<1%

Market icon

拉里·埃里森

$3,200 交易量

<1%

Market icon

沃伦·巴菲特

$3,528 交易量

<1%

Market icon

黄仁勋

$7,909 交易量

<1%

Market icon

史蒂夫·鲍尔默

$3,519 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Jeff Bezos at 63% implied probability to rank as the world's third-richest person on March 31, driven by Amazon's steady stock performance amid robust AWS cloud demand reports from the past week, holding his net worth stable around $190 billion. Sergey Brin trails at 31.5%, propelled by Alphabet's sharp 5% weekly share rally fueled by AI advancements like Gemini model updates and analyst upgrades in the last 48 hours, briefly elevating him into top-three contention per Forbes real-time rankings. Mark Zuckerberg's slim 2.5% reflects Meta's recent pullback from peaks, while Elon Musk's distant 1.2% underscores his firm grip on the top spot despite Tesla volatility. With markets closed until Monday, final Friday valuations lock in the outcome amid high billionaire wealth flux.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$316,694
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Jeff Bezos at 63% implied probability to rank as the world's third-richest person on March 31, driven by Amazon's steady stock performance amid robust AWS cloud demand reports from the past week, holding his net worth stable around $190 billion. Sergey Brin trails at 31.5%, propelled by Alphabet's sharp 5% weekly share rally fueled by AI advancements like Gemini model updates and analyst upgrades in the last 48 hours, briefly elevating him into top-three contention per Forbes real-time rankings. Mark Zuckerberg's slim 2.5% reflects Meta's recent pullback from peaks, while Elon Musk's distant 1.2% underscores his firm grip on the top spot despite Tesla volatility. With markets closed until Monday, final Friday valuations lock in the outcome amid high billionaire wealth flux.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Jeff Bezos at 63% implied probability to rank as the world's third-richest person on March 31, driven by Amazon's steady stock performance amid robust AWS cloud demand reports from the past week, holding his net worth stable around $190 billion. Sergey Brin trails at 31.5%, propelled by Alphabet's sharp 5% weekly share rally fueled by AI advancements like Gemini model updates and analyst upgrades in the last 48 hours, briefly elevating him into top-three contention per Forbes real-time rankings. Mark Zuckerberg's slim 2.5% reflects Meta's recent pullback from peaks, while Elon Musk's distant 1.2% underscores his firm grip on the top spot despite Tesla volatility. With markets closed until Monday, final Friday valuations lock in the outcome amid high billionaire wealth flux.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"3月31日的第三大富豪？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"杰夫·贝索斯"，概率为 63%，其次是"谢尔盖·布林"，概率为 32%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 63¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 63%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"3月31日的第三大富豪？"已产生 $316.7K 的总交易量（自Jan 31, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"3月31日的第三大富豪？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"3月31日的第三大富豪？"的当前领先者是"杰夫·贝索斯"，概率为 63%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 63%。紧随其后的结果是"谢尔盖·布林"，概率为 32%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"3月31日的第三大富豪？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。