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15+ Dem House reps call Biden to drop out by Friday?

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15+ Dem House reps call Biden to drop out by Friday?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$32,413 交易量

>99% chance
Polymarket

$32,413 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 15 or more Democratic US House members calls on Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 presidential race by July 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times official count, found here: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/biden-drop-out-democrats.html. If at any point it shows 15 or more on the tracker, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes." If it doesn't show 15 or more by the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No."

If information from the New York Times page is rendered unavailable for over 24 hours, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to resolve this market using the same criteria as the New York Times.

交易量
$32,413
结束日期
Jul 12, 2024
市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2024, 1:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 15 or more Democratic US House members calls on Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 presidential race by July 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times official count, found here: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/biden-drop-out-democrats.html. If at any point it shows 15 or more on the tracker, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes." If it doesn't show 15 or more by the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No." If information from the New York Times page is rendered unavailable for over 24 hours, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to resolve this market using the same criteria as the New York Times.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 15 or more Democratic US House members calls on Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 presidential race by July 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times official count, found here: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/biden-drop-out-democrats.html. If at any point it shows 15 or more on the tracker, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes." If it doesn't show 15 or more by the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No."

If information from the New York Times page is rendered unavailable for over 24 hours, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to resolve this market using the same criteria as the New York Times.

交易量
$32,413
结束日期
Jul 12, 2024
市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2024, 1:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 15 or more Democratic US House members calls on Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 presidential race by July 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times official count, found here: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/biden-drop-out-democrats.html. If at any point it shows 15 or more on the tracker, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes." If it doesn't show 15 or more by the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No." If information from the New York Times page is rendered unavailable for over 24 hours, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to resolve this market using the same criteria as the New York Times.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"15+ Dem House reps call Biden to drop out by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "15+ Dem House reps call Biden to drop out by Friday?" has generated $32.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "15+ Dem House reps call Biden to drop out by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "15+ Dem House reps call Biden to drop out by Friday?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "15+ Dem House reps call Biden to drop out by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.