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硅數據 預測與賠率

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What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

79%

Make America Great Again

$5.2K 交易量

$6.2K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

3%

$104K 交易量

$16.1K Liq.

2

Ends 大約 2 個月內

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$9.5K Liq.

82

Ends 8 個月內

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

84%

Up

$25.1K 交易量

$9.0K Liq.

Ends 10 個月內

Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above __ in Q2?

Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above __ in Q2?

92%

$5.7B

$8.0K 交易量

$3.7K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least __ in Q3?

Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least __ in Q3?

93%

$1.0B

$1.8K 交易量

$4.0K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$5.9K Liq.

123

Ends 大約 2 個月內

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

29%

<2

$14.9K 交易量

$4.0K Liq.

Ends 19 天內

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

92%

June 30

$2M 交易量

$27.1K Liq.

46

Ends 3 個月前

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

49%

December 31, 2027

$474K 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

33

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

57%

↑ 85,000

$11M 交易量

$1M today

$3M Liq.

2

Ends 21 天內

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

93%

$50.0K 交易量

$13.8K Liq.

39

Ends 8 個月內

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

76%

↑ 45

$279 交易量

$1.1K Liq.

Ends 21 天內

Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 12?

Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 12?

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$11 Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9%

$79.7K 交易量

$15.4K Liq.

10

Ends 11 個月內

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

62%

1st hottest

$64.5K 交易量

$64.5K Liq.

Ends 29 天內

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

22%

December 31, 2026

$253K 交易量

$898 Liq.

32

Ends 4 個月前

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

74%

↑ $435

$121K 交易量

$17.0K Liq.

Ends 21 天內

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

56%

0

$1M 交易量

$36.6K Liq.

10

Ends 11 個月內

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

26%

$4.9K 交易量

$6.3K Liq.

1

Ends 19 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for 硅數據 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will Trump say this week? (May 17)”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $20.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 硅數據 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.