Market icon
政治·比比

內塔尼亞胡會在6月30日前獲得赦免嗎？

Market icon
政治·比比

內塔尼亞胡會在6月30日前獲得赦免嗎？

是

14% 機率
Polymarket

$53,809 交易量

是

14% 機率
Polymarket

$53,809 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices an 86% implied probability against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receiving a pardon by June 30, driven by strong judicial resistance to his unprecedented November 2025 pre-trial clemency request amid ongoing corruption trial testimony, including recent April court appearances. The Justice Ministry's Pardons Department opposes granting relief without an admission of guilt, citing equality-before-the-law concerns and lack of precedents, a stance reaffirmed in materials transferred April 1 following President Isaac Herzog's March 29 request for supplementary details on pre-conviction cases. While Heritage Minister Amichai Eliyahu backed the pardon on public-interest grounds and U.S. President Donald Trump has urged immediate action, Herzog awaits a formal recommendation, underscoring institutional hurdles with limited time remaining.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$53,809
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices an 86% implied probability against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receiving a pardon by June 30, driven by strong judicial resistance to his unprecedented November 2025 pre-trial clemency request amid ongoing corruption trial testimony, including recent April court appearances. The Justice Ministry's Pardons Department opposes granting relief without an admission of guilt, citing equality-before-the-law concerns and lack of precedents, a stance reaffirmed in materials transferred April 1 following President Isaac Herzog's March 29 request for supplementary details on pre-conviction cases. While Heritage Minister Amichai Eliyahu backed the pardon on public-interest grounds and U.S. President Donald Trump has urged immediate action, Herzog awaits a formal recommendation, underscoring institutional hurdles with limited time remaining.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$53,809
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"內塔尼亞胡會在6月30日前獲得赦免嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "內塔尼亞胡會在6月30日之前被赦免嗎？" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "內塔尼亞胡會在6月30日前獲得赦免嗎？" has generated $53.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "內塔尼亞胡會在6月30日前獲得赦免嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "內塔尼亞胡會在6月30日前獲得赦免嗎？" is "內塔尼亞胡會在6月30日之前被赦免嗎？" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "內塔尼亞胡會在6月30日前獲得赦免嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.