Former Vice President Kamala Harris has not signaled any imminent announcement for a 2028 presidential run, with traders pricing "No" at 93.5% implied probability by June 30 amid the early stage of the election cycle—two years before primaries. Recent Politico reporting indicates she remains undecided and is not actively engaging in 2028 discussions, focusing instead on her book tour for "107 Days," Southern speaking events, and Democratic midterm support via rebranded Kamala HQ. While Harris stated in February she "might" pursue another bid and polls show centrist appeal among Democrats, historical patterns favor announcements in the year prior to voting, leaving late-breaking developments like scandals or party pressures as rare catalysts for change before the deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$28,708 交易量
$28,708 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$28,708 交易量
$28,708 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Vice President Kamala Harris has not signaled any imminent announcement for a 2028 presidential run, with traders pricing "No" at 93.5% implied probability by June 30 amid the early stage of the election cycle—two years before primaries. Recent Politico reporting indicates she remains undecided and is not actively engaging in 2028 discussions, focusing instead on her book tour for "107 Days," Southern speaking events, and Democratic midterm support via rebranded Kamala HQ. While Harris stated in February she "might" pursue another bid and polls show centrist appeal among Democrats, historical patterns favor announcements in the year prior to voting, leaving late-breaking developments like scandals or party pressures as rare catalysts for change before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 4:10 PM ET
交易量
$28,708結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Vice President Kamala Harris has not signaled any imminent announcement for a 2028 presidential run, with traders pricing "No" at 93.5% implied probability by June 30 amid the early stage of the election cycle—two years before primaries. Recent Politico reporting indicates she remains undecided and is not actively engaging in 2028 discussions, focusing instead on her book tour for "107 Days," Southern speaking events, and Democratic midterm support via rebranded Kamala HQ. While Harris stated in February she "might" pursue another bid and polls show centrist appeal among Democrats, historical patterns favor announcements in the year prior to voting, leaving late-breaking developments like scandals or party pressures as rare catalysts for change before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$28,708結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former Vice President Kamala Harris has not signaled any imminent announcement for a 2028 presidential run, with traders pricing "No" at 93.5% implied probability by June 30 amid the early stage of the election cycle—two years before primaries. Recent Politico reporting indicates she remains undecided and is not actively engaging in 2028 discussions, focusing instead on her book tour for "107 Days," Southern speaking events, and Democratic midterm support via rebranded Kamala HQ. While Harris stated in February she "might" pursue another bid and polls show centrist appeal among Democrats, historical patterns favor announcements in the year prior to voting, leaving late-breaking developments like scandals or party pressures as rare catalysts for change before the deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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