Market icon
政治·特朗普

格陵蘭會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

格陵蘭會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？

是

8% 機率
Polymarket

$19,668 交易量

是

8% 機率
Polymarket

$19,668 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Greenland's Inatsisartut parliament has not scheduled an independence referendum for 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% against such a vote occurring, as the Demokraatit-led coalition formed after the March 2025 election prioritizes a gradual path to self-determination amid heavy economic reliance on Danish block grants. Recent Danish Folketing elections on March 24, 2026, saw pro-swift independence Naleraq secure its first seat, signaling persistent sentiment but lacking the parliamentary momentum needed to trigger a ballot. Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen's January declarations affirming ties to the Danish kingdom over U.S. overtures further tempered expectations, with no procedural steps advanced despite Arctic geopolitical tensions. Late-breaking government shifts or snap elections could still alter odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$19,668
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Greenland's Inatsisartut parliament has not scheduled an independence referendum for 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 92.5% against such a vote occurring, as the Demokraatit-led coalition formed after the March 2025 election prioritizes a gradual path to self-determination amid heavy economic reliance on Danish block grants. Recent Danish Folketing elections on March 24, 2026, saw pro-swift independence Naleraq secure its first seat, signaling persistent sentiment but lacking the parliamentary momentum needed to trigger a ballot. Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen's January declarations affirming ties to the Danish kingdom over U.S. overtures further tempered expectations, with no procedural steps advanced despite Arctic geopolitical tensions. Late-breaking government shifts or snap elections could still alter odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$19,668
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"格陵蘭會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "格陵蘭會在2026年投票決定是否獨立嗎？" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "格陵蘭會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？" has generated $19.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "格陵蘭會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "格陵蘭會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？" is "格陵蘭會在2026年投票決定是否獨立嗎？" at just 8%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "格陵蘭會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.