Market icon
經濟艙·伊朗

天然氣會在4月底前__降臨嗎？

Market icon
經濟艙·伊朗

天然氣會在4月底前__降臨嗎？

4月 30

4月 30

最新

$130,230 交易量

2026-04-30
Polymarket

$130,230 交易量

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$4,502 交易量

7%

↑ $4.75

$2,219 交易量

16%

↑ $4.50

$2,126 交易量

47%

↑ $4.25

$3,767 交易量

88%

↑ $4.15

$2,804 交易量

96%

↓ $3.95

$1,586 交易量

42%

↓ $3.85

$2,147 交易量

36%

↓ $3.75

$444 交易量

15%

↓ $3.50

$75 交易量

10%

↓ $3.25

$1 交易量

11%

↓ $3.00

$555 交易量

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US average regular gasoline prices have surged above $4 per gallon—reaching $4.08 nationally as of April 2—driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict disrupting oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and pushing WTI crude above $108 per barrel and Brent toward $110. This marks a 33% rise over the past month amid refinery lags from pre-war crude purchases and steady demand ahead of the summer driving season. EIA's latest Short-Term Energy Outlook anticipates near-term peaks before potential moderation if tensions ease, but ongoing geopolitical risks, OPEC+ decisions, and possible Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases could sway prices through April 30; traders weigh supply vulnerabilities against historical volatility in conflict-driven rallies.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
交易量
$130,230
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US average regular gasoline prices have surged above $4 per gallon—reaching $4.08 nationally as of April 2—driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict disrupting oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and pushing WTI crude above $108 per barrel and Brent toward $110. This marks a 33% rise over the past month amid refinery lags from pre-war crude purchases and steady demand ahead of the summer driving season. EIA's latest Short-Term Energy Outlook anticipates near-term peaks before potential moderation if tensions ease, but ongoing geopolitical risks, OPEC+ decisions, and possible Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases could sway prices through April 30; traders weigh supply vulnerabilities against historical volatility in conflict-driven rallies.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
交易量
$130,230
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"天然氣會在4月底前__降臨嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ $4.05" at 100%, followed by "↑ $4.15" at 96%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "天然氣會在4月底前__降臨嗎？" has generated $130.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "天然氣會在4月底前__降臨嗎？," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "天然氣會在4月底前__降臨嗎？" is "↑ $4.05" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ $4.15" at 96%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "天然氣會在4月底前__降臨嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.