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政治·Elon Musk

Elon Musk會在6月30日之前接替Joe Rogan嗎？

Market icon
政治·Elon Musk

Elon Musk會在6月30日之前接替Joe Rogan嗎？

55% 機率
Polymarket
最新
55% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability for Elon Musk appearing as a guest on The Joe Rogan Experience podcast before June 30, 2026, reflecting their established rapport from multiple prior episodes, including Musk's most recent in late October 2025 just before the December 1 market window opened. No official announcements or scheduling hints have emerged in the past 30 days amid Musk's demanding roles leading Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and co-chairing the Trump administration's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), fostering uncertainty in this closely contested market. Rogan's frequent high-profile episodes continue without confirmed conflicts, leaving room for a potential appearance as traders weigh historical patterns against Musk's packed calendar.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,173
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Dec 1, 2025, 5:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55% implied probability for Elon Musk appearing as a guest on The Joe Rogan Experience podcast before June 30, 2026, reflecting their established rapport from multiple prior episodes, including Musk's most recent in late October 2025 just before the December 1 market window opened. No official announcements or scheduling hints have emerged in the past 30 days amid Musk's demanding roles leading Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and co-chairing the Trump administration's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), fostering uncertainty in this closely contested market. Rogan's frequent high-profile episodes continue without confirmed conflicts, leaving room for a potential appearance as traders weigh historical patterns against Musk's packed calendar.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,173
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Dec 1, 2025, 5:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released. The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk會在6月30日之前接替Joe Rogan嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 55% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 55¢, the market collectively assigns a 55% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Elon Musk會在6月30日之前接替Joe Rogan嗎？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 1, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Elon Musk會在6月30日之前接替Joe Rogan嗎？," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Elon Musk會在6月30日之前接替Joe Rogan嗎？" is 55% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 55% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk會在6月30日之前接替Joe Rogan嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.