President Trump's second-term exercise of the pardon power has featured frequent grants of clemency, including batches tied to regulatory enforcement cases and considerations around the U.S. semiquincentennial in 2026. Trader focus on figures such as Ryan Salame reflects patterns in prior actions involving financial or crypto-related convictions, alongside attention to political allies and other high-profile names. Recent examples include June 2026 pardons for former officials and July announcements covering multiple individuals previously convicted on narrow federal charges. The broad volume of clemency issued so far, exceeding 1,600 cases, combined with ongoing reviews of additional applications, shapes assessments of which specific outcomes remain most probable before the 2027 cutoff. Scheduled policy or anniversary-linked announcements could still alter probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$418,036 交易量
2026-12-31
Ryan Salame
43%
馬特·蓋茲
21%
丹尼爾·潘尼
18%
Keonne Rodriguez
18%
斯特凡·布羅迪
17%
史蒂夫·班農
17%
羅傑·史東
14%
唐納德·布羅迪
14%
羅傑·費爾
9%
喬·埃克索蒂克
9%
埃里克·亞當斯
8%
鮑勃·梅嫩德茲
7%
馬丁·施克雷利
6%
Young Thug
6%
朱利安·阿桑奇
6%
Diddy
5%
尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
5%
山姆·班克曼-弗里德
5%
愛德華·斯諾登
5%
德瑞克·蕭文
4%
伊麗莎白·霍姆斯
4%
吉斯蘭·麥克斯韋爾
4%
自己
4%
安德魯·泰特
4%
亨特·拜登
3%
Do Kwon
2%
安托萬·馬西
2%
伊隆·馬斯克
2%
$418,036 交易量
Ryan Salame
$29,521 交易量
43%
馬特·蓋茲
$3,870 交易量
21%
丹尼爾·潘尼
$447 交易量
18%
Keonne Rodriguez
$17,140 交易量
18%
斯特凡·布羅迪
$2,320 交易量
17%
史蒂夫·班農
$7,813 交易量
17%
羅傑·史東
$3,467 交易量
14%
唐納德·布羅迪
$1,195 交易量
14%
羅傑·費爾
$1,184 交易量
9%
喬·埃克索蒂克
$5,364 交易量
9%
埃里克·亞當斯
$1,058 交易量
8%
鮑勃·梅嫩德茲
$195 交易量
7%
馬丁·施克雷利
$29,664 交易量
6%
Young Thug
$4,366 交易量
6%
朱利安·阿桑奇
$3,037 交易量
6%
Diddy
$24,963 交易量
5%
尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
$9,491 交易量
5%
山姆·班克曼-弗里德
$127,989 交易量
5%
愛德華·斯諾登
$3,082 交易量
5%
德瑞克·蕭文
$19,451 交易量
4%
伊麗莎白·霍姆斯
$3,539 交易量
4%
吉斯蘭·麥克斯韋爾
$21,878 交易量
4%
自己
$12,557 交易量
4%
安德魯·泰特
$236 交易量
4%
亨特·拜登
$5,483 交易量
3%
Do Kwon
$23,521 交易量
2%
安托萬·馬西
$2,289 交易量
2%
伊隆·馬斯克
$52,917 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's second-term exercise of the pardon power has featured frequent grants of clemency, including batches tied to regulatory enforcement cases and considerations around the U.S. semiquincentennial in 2026. Trader focus on figures such as Ryan Salame reflects patterns in prior actions involving financial or crypto-related convictions, alongside attention to political allies and other high-profile names. Recent examples include June 2026 pardons for former officials and July announcements covering multiple individuals previously convicted on narrow federal charges. The broad volume of clemency issued so far, exceeding 1,600 cases, combined with ongoing reviews of additional applications, shapes assessments of which specific outcomes remain most probable before the 2027 cutoff. Scheduled policy or anniversary-linked announcements could still alter probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
交易量
$418,036結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's second-term exercise of the pardon power has featured frequent grants of clemency, including batches tied to regulatory enforcement cases and considerations around the U.S. semiquincentennial in 2026. Trader focus on figures such as Ryan Salame reflects patterns in prior actions involving financial or crypto-related convictions, alongside attention to political allies and other high-profile names. Recent examples include June 2026 pardons for former officials and July announcements covering multiple individuals previously convicted on narrow federal charges. The broad volume of clemency issued so far, exceeding 1,600 cases, combined with ongoing reviews of additional applications, shapes assessments of which specific outcomes remain most probable before the 2027 cutoff. Scheduled policy or anniversary-linked announcements could still alter probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$418,036結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's second-term exercise of the pardon power has featured frequent grants of clemency, including batches tied to regulatory enforcement cases and considerations around the U.S. semiquincentennial in 2026. Trader focus on figures such as Ryan Salame reflects patterns in prior actions involving financial or crypto-related convictions, alongside attention to political allies and other high-profile names. Recent examples include June 2026 pardons for former officials and July announcements covering multiple individuals previously convicted on narrow federal charges. The broad volume of clemency issued so far, exceeding 1,600 cases, combined with ongoing reviews of additional applications, shapes assessments of which specific outcomes remain most probable before the 2027 cutoff. Scheduled policy or anniversary-linked announcements could still alter probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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