Market icon
政治·特朗普

誰去過愛潑斯坦島？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

誰去過愛潑斯坦島？

$1,573,432 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$1,573,432 交易量

Polymarket

理查德·布蘭森

$49,841 交易量

23%

伍迪·艾倫

$12,510 交易量

17%

凱文·史貝西

$26,724 交易量

17%

史蒂夫·班農

$57,628 交易量

13%

史蒂文·蒂施

$0 交易量

11%

Deepak Chopra

$11,324 交易量

10%

哈維·溫斯坦

$17,169 交易量

8%

Noam Chomsky

$24,688 交易量

6%

比爾·克林頓

$258,074 交易量

6%

比爾·蓋茲

$97,443 交易量

6%

比爾·考斯比

$8,860 交易量

5%

麥可·傑克森

$153,508 交易量

5%

唐納德·川普

$131,635 交易量

4%

希拉蕊·柯林頓

$39,789 交易量

4%

彼得·阿提亞

$6,967 交易量

3%

埃隆·馬斯克

$79,002 交易量

3%

Jay-Z

$576,628 交易量

3%

馬可·魯比奧

$21,643 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices low Yes probabilities across outcomes in the "Who visited Epstein's Island?" market—peaking at 20% for Richard Branson—reflecting scant new confirmations from the DOJ's January-February 2026 release of over three million Epstein files, including flight logs and manifests to Little St. James, which largely reiterated prior public information without clear evidence of additional high-profile visits. Bill Clinton's sworn testimony denying island entry and similar denials hold sway, while Deputy AG Todd Blanche's March 18 disclosure of credible evidence for Reid Hoffman's visit has not shifted listed odds. House Oversight Committee interviews begin this month, with Bill Gates scheduled for May 19, potentially yielding sworn testimony by the June 30 resolution amid ongoing file scrutiny.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,573,432
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices low Yes probabilities across outcomes in the "Who visited Epstein's Island?" market—peaking at 20% for Richard Branson—reflecting scant new confirmations from the DOJ's January-February 2026 release of over three million Epstein files, including flight logs and manifests to Little St. James, which largely reiterated prior public information without clear evidence of additional high-profile visits. Bill Clinton's sworn testimony denying island entry and similar denials hold sway, while Deputy AG Todd Blanche's March 18 disclosure of credible evidence for Reid Hoffman's visit has not shifted listed odds. House Oversight Committee interviews begin this month, with Bill Gates scheduled for May 19, potentially yielding sworn testimony by the June 30 resolution amid ongoing file scrutiny.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,573,432
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰去過愛潑斯坦島？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "理查德·布蘭森" at 23%, followed by "伍迪·艾倫" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰去過愛潑斯坦島？" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰去過愛潑斯坦島？," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰去過愛潑斯坦島？" is "理查德·布蘭森" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "伍迪·艾倫" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰去過愛潑斯坦島？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.