Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the highest implied probability—24%—to Richard Branson visiting Epstein's Little St. James island, followed by Kevin Spacey and Woody Allen at 15% each, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments amid stringent resolution rules requiring public flight logs, photos, videos, court records, sworn testimony, or self-admission by June 30, 2026. The U.S. Department of Justice's February 2026 release of over three million Epstein files under Attorney General Pam Bondi, fulfilling congressional transparency mandates, mentioned high-profile figures in emails and contacts but yielded no new confirmatory island evidence for leading outcomes, tempering odds despite prior associations. No major developments in the past 30 days; traders eye potential congressional hearings or additional disclosures before deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1,588,779 交易量
理查德·布蘭森
23%
凱文·史貝西
14%
伍迪·艾倫
14%
史蒂夫·班農
13%
史蒂文·蒂施
11%
Deepak Chopra
10%
比爾·考斯比
5%
比爾·蓋茲
5%
Noam Chomsky
5%
哈維·溫斯坦
5%
麥可·傑克森
5%
比爾·克林頓
5%
希拉蕊·柯林頓
4%
唐納德·川普
3%
Jay-Z
3%
彼得·阿提亞
3%
埃隆·馬斯克
2%
馬可·魯比奧
1%
$1,588,779 交易量
理查德·布蘭森
23%
凱文·史貝西
14%
伍迪·艾倫
14%
史蒂夫·班農
13%
史蒂文·蒂施
11%
Deepak Chopra
10%
比爾·考斯比
5%
比爾·蓋茲
5%
Noam Chomsky
5%
哈維·溫斯坦
5%
麥可·傑克森
5%
比爾·克林頓
5%
希拉蕊·柯林頓
4%
唐納德·川普
3%
Jay-Z
3%
彼得·阿提亞
3%
埃隆·馬斯克
2%
馬可·魯比奧
1%
This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the highest implied probability—24%—to Richard Branson visiting Epstein's Little St. James island, followed by Kevin Spacey and Woody Allen at 15% each, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments amid stringent resolution rules requiring public flight logs, photos, videos, court records, sworn testimony, or self-admission by June 30, 2026. The U.S. Department of Justice's February 2026 release of over three million Epstein files under Attorney General Pam Bondi, fulfilling congressional transparency mandates, mentioned high-profile figures in emails and contacts but yielded no new confirmatory island evidence for leading outcomes, tempering odds despite prior associations. No major developments in the past 30 days; traders eye potential congressional hearings or additional disclosures before deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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