Traders assign a 95% implied probability to SpaceX listing on NASDAQ, reflecting the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, targeting a June debut at up to $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest IPO ever—and explicit preference for NASDAQ's tech-heavy ecosystem. This consensus stems from NASDAQ's tailored "Fast Entry" rules, accelerating Nasdaq-100 inclusion to 15 trading days for mega-IPOs with low floats, enabling rapid passive fund inflows amid SpaceX's Starlink satellite deployments and Starship orbital test successes. Early index weighting via a 5x float multiplier further incentivizes the choice over NYSE. Realistic challenges include SEC review delays, superior NYSE bids, or strategic pivots tied to mission timelines, though current developments cement trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NASDAQ 95%
Other 2.5%
NYSE <1%
$83,285 交易量
$83,285 交易量
NASDAQ
95%
Other
2%
NYSE
1%
NASDAQ 95%
Other 2.5%
NYSE <1%
$83,285 交易量
$83,285 交易量
NASDAQ
$16,219 交易量
95%
Other
$50,568 交易量
2%
NYSE
$16,499 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 95% implied probability to SpaceX listing on NASDAQ, reflecting the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, targeting a June debut at up to $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest IPO ever—and explicit preference for NASDAQ's tech-heavy ecosystem. This consensus stems from NASDAQ's tailored "Fast Entry" rules, accelerating Nasdaq-100 inclusion to 15 trading days for mega-IPOs with low floats, enabling rapid passive fund inflows amid SpaceX's Starlink satellite deployments and Starship orbital test successes. Early index weighting via a 5x float multiplier further incentivizes the choice over NYSE. Realistic challenges include SEC review delays, superior NYSE bids, or strategic pivots tied to mission timelines, though current developments cement trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
交易量
$83,285市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 95% implied probability to SpaceX listing on NASDAQ, reflecting the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, targeting a June debut at up to $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest IPO ever—and explicit preference for NASDAQ's tech-heavy ecosystem. This consensus stems from NASDAQ's tailored "Fast Entry" rules, accelerating Nasdaq-100 inclusion to 15 trading days for mega-IPOs with low floats, enabling rapid passive fund inflows amid SpaceX's Starlink satellite deployments and Starship orbital test successes. Early index weighting via a 5x float multiplier further incentivizes the choice over NYSE. Realistic challenges include SEC review delays, superior NYSE bids, or strategic pivots tied to mission timelines, though current developments cement trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$83,285市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 95% implied probability to SpaceX listing on NASDAQ, reflecting the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, targeting a June debut at up to $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest IPO ever—and explicit preference for NASDAQ's tech-heavy ecosystem. This consensus stems from NASDAQ's tailored "Fast Entry" rules, accelerating Nasdaq-100 inclusion to 15 trading days for mega-IPOs with low floats, enabling rapid passive fund inflows amid SpaceX's Starlink satellite deployments and Starship orbital test successes. Early index weighting via a 5x float multiplier further incentivizes the choice over NYSE. Realistic challenges include SEC review delays, superior NYSE bids, or strategic pivots tied to mission timelines, though current developments cement trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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