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Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

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Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?

6月 30

6月 30

最新

$23,315 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$23,315 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

CME

$1,427 交易量

97%

Market icon

Railbird

$1,031 交易量

60%

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ForecastEx

$3,416 交易量

55%

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LedgerX

$100 交易量

50%

Market icon

Aristotle

$72 交易量

50%

Market icon

Small Exchange

$1,010 交易量

34%

Market icon

CBOE

$1,090 交易量

9%

Market icon

The Clearing Company

$1,477 交易量

8%

Market icon

ICE

$14,103 交易量

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The CFTC's March 12 staff advisory (Letter 26-08) has catalyzed trader optimism, clarifying that sports event contracts—settling on aggregate outcomes like team performances over extended play—are permissible on Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) if they comply with core principles against manipulation, prompting pre-self-certification engagement with leagues. No DCMs have self-certified yet, but consensus prices CME at 97% implied probability to lead by June 30, 2026, reflecting its scale, recent election contract filings, and FanDuel/DraftKings ties. Railbird and ForecastEx trail at 57%, amid a parallel ANPRM seeking comment on prediction market rules and a fresh CFTC-MLB integrity MOU, with Splash Sports' broker approval bolstering infrastructure. Heightened surveillance and state gambling pushback pose risks to laggards like CBOE (17%).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$23,315
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The CFTC's March 12 staff advisory (Letter 26-08) has catalyzed trader optimism, clarifying that sports event contracts—settling on aggregate outcomes like team performances over extended play—are permissible on Designated Contract Markets (DCMs) if they comply with core principles against manipulation, prompting pre-self-certification engagement with leagues. No DCMs have self-certified yet, but consensus prices CME at 97% implied probability to lead by June 30, 2026, reflecting its scale, recent election contract filings, and FanDuel/DraftKings ties. Railbird and ForecastEx trail at 57%, amid a parallel ANPRM seeking comment on prediction market rules and a fresh CFTC-MLB integrity MOU, with Splash Sports' broker approval bolstering infrastructure. Heightened surveillance and state gambling pushback pose risks to laggards like CBOE (17%).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$23,315
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "CME" at 97%, followed by "Railbird" at 60%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" has generated $23.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" is "CME" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Railbird" at 60%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.