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政治·中東

哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？

Market icon
政治·中東

哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？

12月 31

12月 31

$355,918 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$355,918 交易量

Polymarket

科威特

$1,257 交易量

27%

索馬利蘭

$44,926 交易量

26%

沙烏地阿拉伯

$64,009 交易量

25%

黎巴嫩

$5,765 交易量

23%

敘利亞

$110,487 交易量

22%

阿塞拜疆

$28,616 交易量

25%

阿曼

$100,859 交易量

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's recent urging of Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords during a March 27 speech in Miami, amid an ongoing U.S.-led conflict degrading Iran's regional influence, has intensified diplomatic momentum for expansion. This follows Kazakhstan's formal accession in November 2025 and Somaliland's December pledge tied to Israel's recognition, though the latter awaits full implementation. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman faces domestic and Palestinian-related hurdles despite strategic incentives like enhanced security ties. Senators Budd and Ernst proposed bolstering defense cooperation among Accords members three days ago, signaling U.S. congressional support. Traders weigh these signals against barriers in Syria—where leaders dismissed normalization—and potential openings in Kuwait or Azerbaijan before year-end, with resolution hinging on official bilateral declarations by December 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$355,918
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's recent urging of Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords during a March 27 speech in Miami, amid an ongoing U.S.-led conflict degrading Iran's regional influence, has intensified diplomatic momentum for expansion. This follows Kazakhstan's formal accession in November 2025 and Somaliland's December pledge tied to Israel's recognition, though the latter awaits full implementation. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman faces domestic and Palestinian-related hurdles despite strategic incentives like enhanced security ties. Senators Budd and Ernst proposed bolstering defense cooperation among Accords members three days ago, signaling U.S. congressional support. Traders weigh these signals against barriers in Syria—where leaders dismissed normalization—and potential openings in Kuwait or Azerbaijan before year-end, with resolution hinging on official bilateral declarations by December 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$355,918
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "科威特" at 27%, followed by "索馬利蘭" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" has generated $355.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" is "科威特" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "索馬利蘭" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.