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選舉·獎勵20、4.5、50

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

Market icon
選舉·獎勵20、4.5、50

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

Other 46.0%

López Aliaga & Fujimori 33%

López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino 10%

Fujimori & Nieto 5.5%

Polymarket

$146,009 交易量

Other 46.0%

López Aliaga & Fujimori 33%

López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino 10%

Fujimori & Nieto 5.5%

Polymarket

$146,009 交易量

Other

$7,501 交易量

46%

López Aliaga & Fujimori

$21,112 交易量

33%

López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino

$8,014 交易量

10%

Fujimori & Nieto

$60,095 交易量

5%

López Chau & Fujimori

$38,373 交易量

4%

López Aliaga & López Chau

$2,674 交易量

2%

López Chau & Sánchez Palomino

$2,948 交易量

2%

López Aliaga & Nieto

$2,539 交易量

1%

López Chau & Nieto

$1,628 交易量

<1%

López Aliaga & Grozo

$1,245 交易量

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus favors "Other" pairings at 45.8% implied probability for Peru's April 12, 2026, first-round presidential vote due to a highly fragmented field of 35 candidates and 15-25% undecided voters in recent polls, leaving room for third-place contenders to disrupt the top two. Right-wing leaders Rafael López Aliaga (Renovación Popular) and Keiko Fujimori (Fuerza Popular) consistently top Ipsos, Datum, and IEP surveys from late March through early April at 8-13%, positioning their advancement at 33%, but rising support for Alfonso López Chau (Ahora Nación), Roberto Sánchez Palomino (Juntos por el Perú), Jorge Nieto (Partido del Buen Gobierno), and Carlos Álvarez (País para Todos)—tied or near 5-8%—fuels uncertainty. Final debates and regional turnout could tip the balance ahead of a potential June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
交易量
$146,009
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus favors "Other" pairings at 45.8% implied probability for Peru's April 12, 2026, first-round presidential vote due to a highly fragmented field of 35 candidates and 15-25% undecided voters in recent polls, leaving room for third-place contenders to disrupt the top two. Right-wing leaders Rafael López Aliaga (Renovación Popular) and Keiko Fujimori (Fuerza Popular) consistently top Ipsos, Datum, and IEP surveys from late March through early April at 8-13%, positioning their advancement at 33%, but rising support for Alfonso López Chau (Ahora Nación), Roberto Sánchez Palomino (Juntos por el Perú), Jorge Nieto (Partido del Buen Gobierno), and Carlos Álvarez (País para Todos)—tied or near 5-8%—fuels uncertainty. Final debates and regional turnout could tip the balance ahead of a potential June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
交易量
$146,009
結束日期
2026-04-12
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Other" at 46%, followed by "López Aliaga & Fujimori" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" has generated $146K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" is "Other" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "López Aliaga & Fujimori" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.