Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 86%, reflecting the absence of any official announcements or diplomatic momentum for a summit amid escalating US-Russia tensions over the ongoing Ukraine war and recent US military actions against Iran. In late March, President Trump dispatched envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow for Ukraine talks, while Putin's envoy visited Florida, but these staff-level engagements yielded no leader summit plans, underscoring stalled negotiations. Heightened NATO frictions, including Trump's threats to withdraw US forces, further complicate neutral-site diplomacy like Turkey or Switzerland, relegating specific locations to low probabilities below 3% as traders prioritize geopolitical barriers over speculation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於6月30日之前沒有會面 86.7%
其他歐盟國家 2.9%
海灣國家 1.8%
土耳其 1.8%
$4,598,228 交易量
$4,598,228 交易量

6月30日之前沒有會面
87%

其他歐盟國家
3%

海灣國家
2%

土耳其
2%

美國
2%

俄羅斯
2%

其他
1%

中國
1%

白俄羅斯
1%

瑞士
<1%

日本
<1%

南韓
<1%

澳洲
<1%

芬蘭
<1%

烏克蘭
<1%
6月30日之前沒有會面 86.7%
其他歐盟國家 2.9%
海灣國家 1.8%
土耳其 1.8%
$4,598,228 交易量
$4,598,228 交易量

6月30日之前沒有會面
87%

其他歐盟國家
3%

海灣國家
2%

土耳其
2%

美國
2%

俄羅斯
2%

其他
1%

中國
1%

白俄羅斯
1%

瑞士
<1%

日本
<1%

南韓
<1%

澳洲
<1%

芬蘭
<1%

烏克蘭
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 86%, reflecting the absence of any official announcements or diplomatic momentum for a summit amid escalating US-Russia tensions over the ongoing Ukraine war and recent US military actions against Iran. In late March, President Trump dispatched envoy Steve Witkoff to Moscow for Ukraine talks, while Putin's envoy visited Florida, but these staff-level engagements yielded no leader summit plans, underscoring stalled negotiations. Heightened NATO frictions, including Trump's threats to withdraw US forces, further complicate neutral-site diplomacy like Turkey or Switzerland, relegating specific locations to low probabilities below 3% as traders prioritize geopolitical barriers over speculation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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