President Trump's recent Truth Social posts amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions—sharing video of a destroyed Iranian bridge, threatening strikes on power plants and oil infrastructure unless the Strait of Hormuz opens, and noting U.S. forces have more targets—have boosted trader consensus on terms like "Terrorist" at 90% and "Peace Through Strength" at 43%, reflecting his emphasis on military action and diplomacy. Domestic announcements, such as appointing JD Vance "FRAUD CZAR" targeting blue states, support odds for "Free Tina Peters" (67%). With Easter Sunday on April 5 marking market close, "Happy Easter" leads at 85%, aligning with holiday tradition, while further Iran developments or jet downing updates could shift probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$21,102 交易量
Keir / Starmer
9%
Epic Fury
31%
Gay
14%
Panican
17%
Palestine / Palestinian
7%
Memphis
11%
Statue
16%
Kuwait
47%
Boeing
12%
Free Tina Peters
46%
Barack Hussein Obama
31%
Sleepy Joe Biden
26%
Peace Through Strength
35%
Bully of the Middle East
19%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
11%
Pahlavi
3%
Elon / Musk
14%
Terrorist
83%
Congresswoman
54%
Happy Easter
92%
Easter Egg
26%
Movie Star
6%
$21,102 交易量
Keir / Starmer
9%
Epic Fury
31%
Gay
14%
Panican
17%
Palestine / Palestinian
7%
Memphis
11%
Statue
16%
Kuwait
47%
Boeing
12%
Free Tina Peters
46%
Barack Hussein Obama
31%
Sleepy Joe Biden
26%
Peace Through Strength
35%
Bully of the Middle East
19%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
11%
Pahlavi
3%
Elon / Musk
14%
Terrorist
83%
Congresswoman
54%
Happy Easter
92%
Easter Egg
26%
Movie Star
6%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
市場開放時間: Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent Truth Social posts amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions—sharing video of a destroyed Iranian bridge, threatening strikes on power plants and oil infrastructure unless the Strait of Hormuz opens, and noting U.S. forces have more targets—have boosted trader consensus on terms like "Terrorist" at 90% and "Peace Through Strength" at 43%, reflecting his emphasis on military action and diplomacy. Domestic announcements, such as appointing JD Vance "FRAUD CZAR" targeting blue states, support odds for "Free Tina Peters" (67%). With Easter Sunday on April 5 marking market close, "Happy Easter" leads at 85%, aligning with holiday tradition, while further Iran developments or jet downing updates could shift probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions