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選舉·主要

TX-19共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·主要

TX-19共和黨初選獲勝者

湯姆·塞爾 85.1%

亞伯拉罕·恩里奎茲 6.9%

Ryan Zink 2.9%

馬修·史密斯 2.4%

Polymarket

$62,563 交易量

湯姆·塞爾 85.1%

亞伯拉罕·恩里奎茲 6.9%

Ryan Zink 2.9%

馬修·史密斯 2.4%

Polymarket

$62,563 交易量

湯姆·塞爾

$42,866 交易量

85%

亞伯拉罕·恩里奎茲

$10,474 交易量

7%

Ryan Zink

$1,207 交易量

3%

馬修·史密斯

$2,406 交易量

2%

唐納德·梅

$2,995 交易量

1%

Jason Corley

$0 交易量

1%

詹姆斯·巴比

$2,615 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell's dominant performance in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 19th Congressional District, where he topped a crowded seven-candidate field without securing a majority, propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Abraham Enriquez, driving trader consensus to price Sell at 86% implied probability of winning the nomination for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. Sell's edge stems from strong early voting leads, superior fundraising exceeding $725,000 in Q1, fifth-generation West Texas rancher credentials appealing to agriculture voters, and recent endorsements from Rep. Brandon Gill, former Texas GOP Vice Chair Cat Parks, and agriculture committee leaders. Enriquez holds at 7% on America First messaging and prior CPAC backing, while eliminated candidates like Ryan Zink and Matthew Smith linger at low odds amid runoff consolidation. Late-March PAC spending and campaigning could shift dynamics ahead of the deadline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$62,563
結束日期
2026-05-26
市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tom Sell's dominant performance in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas' 19th Congressional District, where he topped a crowded seven-candidate field without securing a majority, propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Abraham Enriquez, driving trader consensus to price Sell at 86% implied probability of winning the nomination for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. Sell's edge stems from strong early voting leads, superior fundraising exceeding $725,000 in Q1, fifth-generation West Texas rancher credentials appealing to agriculture voters, and recent endorsements from Rep. Brandon Gill, former Texas GOP Vice Chair Cat Parks, and agriculture committee leaders. Enriquez holds at 7% on America First messaging and prior CPAC backing, while eliminated candidates like Ryan Zink and Matthew Smith linger at low odds amid runoff consolidation. Late-March PAC spending and campaigning could shift dynamics ahead of the deadline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$62,563
結束日期
2026-05-26
市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"TX-19共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "湯姆·塞爾" at 85%, followed by "亞伯拉罕·恩里奎茲" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "TX-19共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $62.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "TX-19共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "TX-19共和黨初選獲勝者" is "湯姆·塞爾" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞伯拉罕·恩里奎茲" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "TX-19共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.