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政治·全球選舉

2025年洪都拉斯大選投票率（小括號）

Market icon
政治·全球選舉

2025年洪都拉斯大選投票率（小括號）

59-60% 53.9%

低於56% 15.0%

58-59% 12.4%

60-61% 4.6%

Polymarket

$43,021 交易量

59-60% 53.9%

低於56% 15.0%

58-59% 12.4%

60-61% 4.6%

Polymarket

$43,021 交易量

低於56%

$11,034 交易量

14%

56-57%

$9,321 交易量

3%

57-58%

$13,311 交易量

3%

58-59%

$0 交易量

12%

59-60%

$0 交易量

54%

60-61%

$0 交易量

5%

61-62%

$9,355 交易量

4%

>62%

$0 交易量

3%

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus favors 59-60% voter turnout at 54% implied probability for Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, reflecting early January 2026 analyses by El Heraldo and La Prensa using preliminary Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) data showing 60.19% participation—3.9 million votes from 6.5 million registered voters, down 8.4 points from 2021's 68.58%. This decline stems from voter apathy amid economic stagnation, persistent gang violence, and fraud allegations in the disputed presidential race won narrowly by Nasry Asfura after recounts. With some actas still unprocessed and no final CNE certification as of late March 2026, traders price caution toward the lower end of estimates, below historical averages near 61%.

Trader consensus favors 59-60% voter turnout at 54% implied probability for Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, reflecting early January 2026 analyses by El Heraldo and La Prensa using preliminary Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) data showing 60.19% participation—3.9 million votes from 6.5 million registered voters, down 8.4 points from 2021's 68.58%. This decline stems from voter apathy amid economic stagnation, persistent gang violence, and fraud allegations in the disputed presidential race won narrowly by Nasry Asfura after recounts. With some actas still unprocessed and no final CNE certification as of late March 2026, traders price caution toward the lower end of estimates, below historical averages near 61%.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus favors 59-60% voter turnout at 54% implied probability for Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, reflecting early January 2026 analyses by El Heraldo and La Prensa using preliminary Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) data showing 60.19% participation—3.9 million votes from 6.5 million registered voters, down 8.4 points from 2021's 68.58%. This decline stems from voter apathy amid economic stagnation, persistent gang violence, and fraud allegations in the disputed presidential race won narrowly by Nasry Asfura after recounts. With some actas still unprocessed and no final CNE certification as of late March 2026, traders price caution toward the lower end of estimates, below historical averages near 61%.

Trader consensus favors 59-60% voter turnout at 54% implied probability for Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, reflecting early January 2026 analyses by El Heraldo and La Prensa using preliminary Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) data showing 60.19% participation—3.9 million votes from 6.5 million registered voters, down 8.4 points from 2021's 68.58%. This decline stems from voter apathy amid economic stagnation, persistent gang violence, and fraud allegations in the disputed presidential race won narrowly by Nasry Asfura after recounts. With some actas still unprocessed and no final CNE certification as of late March 2026, traders price caution toward the lower end of estimates, below historical averages near 61%.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2025年洪都拉斯大選投票率（小括號）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "59-60%" at 54%, followed by "低於56%" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2025年洪都拉斯大選投票率（小括號）" has generated $43K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2025年洪都拉斯大選投票率（小括號）," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2025年洪都拉斯大選投票率（小括號）" is "59-60%" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "低於56%" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2025年洪都拉斯大選投票率（小括號）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.