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Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
政治·主要

Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner

Aaron Guckian 51.6%

Elaine Pelino 19%

Robert Raimondo 4.9%

Ashley Kalus 4.7%

Polymarket
最新

Aaron Guckian 51.6%

Elaine Pelino 19%

Robert Raimondo 4.9%

Ashley Kalus 4.7%

Polymarket
最新

Aaron Guckian

$2,376 交易量

52%

Elaine Pelino

$0 交易量

27%

Robert Raimondo

$0 交易量

5%

Ashley Kalus

$0 交易量

5%

Jessica de la Cruz

$0 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Aaron Guckian as the leading contender in Rhode Island's Republican gubernatorial primary on September 8, with 52% implied probability, ahead of Elaine Pelino at 27%, driven by his prior experience in the Carcieri administration and 2022 lieutenant governor candidacy amid low name recognition for all declared candidates per the February UNH poll. No new public polls have emerged since then, leaving markets sensitive to campaign momentum, including Guckian's recent fundraising pushes and joint appearances like the March 28 Smithfield Republican rally alongside Pelino. Undeclared prospects like Ashley Kalus lag despite past favorability, while Robert Raimondo and Jessica de la Cruz trail further; upcoming GOP forums and endorsements could shift dynamics in this open primary field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$2,376
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Aaron Guckian as the leading contender in Rhode Island's Republican gubernatorial primary on September 8, with 52% implied probability, ahead of Elaine Pelino at 27%, driven by his prior experience in the Carcieri administration and 2022 lieutenant governor candidacy amid low name recognition for all declared candidates per the February UNH poll. No new public polls have emerged since then, leaving markets sensitive to campaign momentum, including Guckian's recent fundraising pushes and joint appearances like the March 28 Smithfield Republican rally alongside Pelino. Undeclared prospects like Ashley Kalus lag despite past favorability, while Robert Raimondo and Jessica de la Cruz trail further; upcoming GOP forums and endorsements could shift dynamics in this open primary field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$2,376
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Guckian" at 52%, followed by "Elaine Pelino" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 11, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Aaron Guckian" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elaine Pelino" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.