JD Vance commands a narrow lead in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, propelled by his selection as Donald Trump's 2024 vice presidential running mate, which positions him as the Republican heir apparent under term limits barring Trump's third run. Gavin Newsom follows closely, leveraging his California governorship, national media engagements like the DeSantis debate, and Democratic fundraising strength amid party debates over post-Biden direction. Marco Rubio's solid third-place odds stem from his Senate Foreign Relations role and Trump alliance. This clustered top tier reflects early-cycle uncertainty tied to the November 2024 election outcome, 2026 midterms, and primaries; Trump-Vance success could widen Vance's edge, while Democratic swing-state gains or scandals might boost Newsom or Shapiro.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於JD Vance 17.8%
加文·紐森 16.8%
馬可·魯比歐 11.1%
亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 4.7%
$454,769,443 交易量
$454,769,443 交易量

JD Vance
18%

加文·紐森
17%

馬可·魯比歐
11%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯
5%

喬恩·奧索夫
3%

卡馬拉·哈里斯
3%

塔克·卡爾森
2%

喬希·夏皮羅
2%

唐納德·川普
2%

皮特·布塔朱吉
2%

JB Pritzker
2%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯
2%

德韋恩·「巨石」·強森
2%

安迪·貝希爾
1%

伊萬卡·川普
1%

詹姆斯·塔拉里科
1%

傑米·戴蒙
1%

米歇爾·奧巴馬
1%

埃隆·馬斯克
1%

格雷琴·惠特默
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

托馬斯·馬西
1%

韋斯·摩爾
1%

唐納德·川普二世
1%

妮基·黑利
1%

羅·卡納
1%

圖西·加巴德
1%

提姆·沃茲
1%

格倫·揚金
1%

史蒂芬·史密斯
1%

維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米
1%

祖蘭·曼達尼
1%

埃里克·川普
1%

勒布朗·詹姆斯
1%

彼特·赫格塞斯
1%

金·卡戴珊
1%
JD Vance 17.8%
加文·紐森 16.8%
馬可·魯比歐 11.1%
亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯 4.7%
$454,769,443 交易量
$454,769,443 交易量

JD Vance
18%

加文·紐森
17%

馬可·魯比歐
11%

亞歷山大·奧卡西奧-科爾特斯
5%

喬恩·奧索夫
3%

卡馬拉·哈里斯
3%

塔克·卡爾森
2%

喬希·夏皮羅
2%

唐納德·川普
2%

皮特·布塔朱吉
2%

JB Pritzker
2%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯
2%

德韋恩·「巨石」·強森
2%

安迪·貝希爾
1%

伊萬卡·川普
1%

詹姆斯·塔拉里科
1%

傑米·戴蒙
1%

米歇爾·奧巴馬
1%

埃隆·馬斯克
1%

格雷琴·惠特默
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

托馬斯·馬西
1%

韋斯·摩爾
1%

唐納德·川普二世
1%

妮基·黑利
1%

羅·卡納
1%

圖西·加巴德
1%

提姆·沃茲
1%

格倫·揚金
1%

史蒂芬·史密斯
1%

維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米
1%

祖蘭·曼達尼
1%

埃里克·川普
1%

勒布朗·詹姆斯
1%

彼特·赫格塞斯
1%

金·卡戴珊
1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
市場開放時間: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
JD Vance commands a narrow lead in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, propelled by his selection as Donald Trump's 2024 vice presidential running mate, which positions him as the Republican heir apparent under term limits barring Trump's third run. Gavin Newsom follows closely, leveraging his California governorship, national media engagements like the DeSantis debate, and Democratic fundraising strength amid party debates over post-Biden direction. Marco Rubio's solid third-place odds stem from his Senate Foreign Relations role and Trump alliance. This clustered top tier reflects early-cycle uncertainty tied to the November 2024 election outcome, 2026 midterms, and primaries; Trump-Vance success could widen Vance's edge, while Democratic swing-state gains or scandals might boost Newsom or Shapiro.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions