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政治·全球選舉

祕魯總統選舉獲勝者

Market icon
政治·全球選舉

祕魯總統選舉獲勝者

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 38%

藤森惠子 17%

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾 16.0%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏 13.2%

Polymarket

$4,032,851 交易量

拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加 38%

藤森惠子 17%

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾 16.0%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏 13.2%

Polymarket

$4,032,851 交易量

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拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加

$501,554 交易量

38%

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藤森惠子

$199,155 交易量

17%

Market icon

羅伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米諾

$289,731 交易量

16%

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阿方索·洛佩斯·查烏

$188,857 交易量

13%

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卡洛斯·阿爾瓦雷斯

$96,426 交易量

6%

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喬治·涅托

$623,306 交易量

5%

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里卡多·貝爾蒙特

$152,805 交易量

3%

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卡洛斯·埃斯帕

$132,178 交易量

1%

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沃爾夫岡·格羅佐

$362,127 交易量

1%

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恩里克·瓦爾德拉馬

$137,853 交易量

1%

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Yonhy Lescano

$143,059 交易量

1%

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瑪麗索·佩雷斯·特略

$154,353 交易量

1%

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喬治·福賽斯

$129,617 交易量

<1%

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梅西亞斯·格瓦拉

$75,000 交易量

<1%

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荷西·威廉斯

$59,127 交易量

<1%

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馬里奧·維茲卡拉

$129,240 交易量

<1%

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費爾南多·奧利維拉

$94,090 交易量

<1%

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塞薩爾·阿庫尼亞

$95,833 交易量

<1%

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弗拉迪米爾·塞龍

$116,718 交易量

<1%

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羅貝托·奇亞布拉

$60,808 交易量

<1%

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荷塞·盧納

$92,325 交易量

<1%

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菲奧雷拉·莫利內利

$80,190 交易量

<1%

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拉斐爾·貝勞恩德·廖薩

$118,683 交易量

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Recent polls, including Datum's March 13-17 survey showing Rafael López Aliaga at 18% and Keiko Fujimori at 19%, alongside Ipsos simulacros placing López Aliaga at 17.2%, underscore trader consensus favoring him as the frontrunner for Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote and ultimate winner. In a fragmented field of over 30 candidates with high undecided voters exceeding 50%, López Aliaga's consistent right-wing lead reflects anti-establishment sentiment amid political instability, positioning him strongly for a potential June runoff. Roberto Sánchez Palomino gains market traction at 16% via rural appeal seen in Ipsos at 7.5%, while Alfonso López Chau's centre-left rise to 10% bolsters his 13.2% odds, though no candidate nears 50% for outright victory.

Recent polls, including Datum's March 13-17 survey showing Rafael López Aliaga at 18% and Keiko Fujimori at 19%, alongside Ipsos simulacros placing López Aliaga at 17.2%, underscore trader consensus favoring him as the frontrunner for Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote and ultimate winner. In a fragmented field of over 30 candidates with high undecided voters exceeding 50%, López Aliaga's consistent right-wing lead reflects anti-establishment sentiment amid political instability, positioning him strongly for a potential June runoff. Roberto Sánchez Palomino gains market traction at 16% via rural appeal seen in Ipsos at 7.5%, while Alfonso López Chau's centre-left rise to 10% bolsters his 13.2% odds, though no candidate nears 50% for outright victory.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Recent polls, including Datum's March 13-17 survey showing Rafael López Aliaga at 18% and Keiko Fujimori at 19%, alongside Ipsos simulacros placing López Aliaga at 17.2%, underscore trader consensus favoring him as the frontrunner for Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote and ultimate winner. In a fragmented field of over 30 candidates with high undecided voters exceeding 50%, López Aliaga's consistent right-wing lead reflects anti-establishment sentiment amid political instability, positioning him strongly for a potential June runoff. Roberto Sánchez Palomino gains market traction at 16% via rural appeal seen in Ipsos at 7.5%, while Alfonso López Chau's centre-left rise to 10% bolsters his 13.2% odds, though no candidate nears 50% for outright victory.

Recent polls, including Datum's March 13-17 survey showing Rafael López Aliaga at 18% and Keiko Fujimori at 19%, alongside Ipsos simulacros placing López Aliaga at 17.2%, underscore trader consensus favoring him as the frontrunner for Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote and ultimate winner. In a fragmented field of over 30 candidates with high undecided voters exceeding 50%, López Aliaga's consistent right-wing lead reflects anti-establishment sentiment amid political instability, positioning him strongly for a potential June runoff. Roberto Sánchez Palomino gains market traction at 16% via rural appeal seen in Ipsos at 7.5%, while Alfonso López Chau's centre-left rise to 10% bolsters his 13.2% odds, though no candidate nears 50% for outright victory.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加" at 38%, followed by "藤森惠子" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" has generated $4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" is "拉斐爾·洛佩斯·阿利亞加" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "藤森惠子" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "祕魯總統選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.