巴黎市長選舉

Q: What is the "巴黎市長選舉" prediction market?

"巴黎市長選舉" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "埃馬紐埃爾·格雷瓜" at 100%, followed by "拉希達·達蒂" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

Q: How much trading activity has "巴黎市長選舉" generated on Polymarket?

"巴黎市長選舉" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Oct 23, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

Q: How do I trade on "巴黎市長選舉"?

To trade on "巴黎市長選舉," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

Q: What are the current odds for "巴黎市長選舉"?

The current frontrunner for "巴黎市長選舉" is "埃馬紐埃爾·格雷瓜" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "拉希達·達蒂" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

Q: How will "巴黎市長選舉" be resolved?

The resolution rules for "巴黎市長選舉" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Q: Can I follow "巴黎市長選舉" without placing a trade?

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "巴黎市長選舉." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Q: Why are Polymarket's odds for "巴黎市長選舉" considered reliable?

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. "巴黎市長選舉" is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket's prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

Q: How do I start trading on "巴黎市長選舉"?

To place your first trade on "巴黎市長選舉," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

Q: What does a price of 100¢ for "埃馬紐埃爾·格雷瓜" mean?

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "埃馬紐埃爾·格雷瓜" in the "巴黎市長選舉" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "埃馬紐埃爾·格雷瓜" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

Q: When does the "巴黎市長選舉" market close?

The "巴黎市長選舉" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

政治·全球選舉

巴黎市長選舉

埃馬紐埃爾·格雷瓜 100.0%

拉希達·達蒂 <1%

皮埃爾-伊夫·布爾納澤 <1%

大衛·貝利亞 <1%

$6 交易量

Mar 31, 2026

拉希達·達蒂

$0 交易量

否

皮埃爾-伊夫·布爾納澤

$0 交易量

否

大衛·貝利亞

$0 交易量

否

索菲亞·奇基魯

$0 交易量

否

Thierry Mariani

$0 交易量

否

莎拉·克納福

$0 交易量

否

埃馬紐埃爾·格雷瓜

$0 交易量

是

埃馬紐埃爾·格雷瓜 100.0%

拉希達·達蒂 <1%

皮埃爾-伊夫·布爾納澤 <1%

大衛·貝利亞 <1%

$6 交易量

Mar 31, 2026

拉希達·達蒂

$0 交易量

否

皮埃爾-伊夫·布爾納澤

$0 交易量

否

大衛·貝利亞

$0 交易量

否

索菲亞·奇基魯

$0 交易量

否

Thierry Mariani

$0 交易量

否

莎拉·克納福

$0 交易量

否

埃馬紐埃爾·格雷瓜

$0 交易量

是

Emmanuel Grégoire's near-certain trader consensus in the Paris mayoral election reflects his entrenched position as first deputy mayor under Anne Hidalgo and the Socialist Party's anointed successor, reinforced by consistent polling leads over rivals like Rachida Dati of Les Républicains and Sophia Chikirou of La France Insoumise. Paris' left-leaning electorate and PS organizational strength underpin this dominance, with Éric Grégoire's secondary odds signaling limited independent traction. Challenges could arise from a unified center-right alliance, Hidalgo's unpopularity spilling over, or national Macronist surges eroding left unity ahead of the 2026 municipal vote.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 23, 2026, 6:44 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"巴黎市長選舉" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "埃馬紐埃爾·格雷瓜" at 100%, followed by "拉希達·達蒂" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"巴黎市長選舉" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Oct 23, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "巴黎市長選舉," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "巴黎市長選舉" is "埃馬紐埃爾·格雷瓜" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "拉希達·達蒂" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "巴黎市長選舉" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "巴黎市長選舉." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “巴黎市長選舉” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "巴黎市長選舉," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "埃馬紐埃爾·格雷瓜" in the "巴黎市長選舉" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "埃馬紐埃爾·格雷瓜" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "巴黎市長選舉" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "巴黎市長選舉" market has an active community of 701 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "巴黎市長選舉." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

巴黎市長選舉

巴黎市長選舉

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論 (701)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "巴黎市長選舉" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "巴黎市長選舉" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "巴黎市長選舉"?

What are the current odds for "巴黎市長選舉"?

How will "巴黎市長選舉" be resolved?

Can I follow "巴黎市長選舉" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "巴黎市長選舉" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "巴黎市長選舉"?

What does a price of 100¢ for "埃馬紐埃爾·格雷瓜" mean?

When does the "巴黎市長選舉" market close?

What are traders saying about "巴黎市長選舉"?

What is Polymarket?