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政治·主要

PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者

Sharif Street 40%

Chris Rabb 32.8%

阿拉·斯坦福 22.7%

摩根·塞法斯 3.5%

Polymarket

$19,266 交易量

Sharif Street 40%

Chris Rabb 32.8%

阿拉·斯坦福 22.7%

摩根·塞法斯 3.5%

Polymarket

$19,266 交易量

Sharif Street

$4,284 交易量

40%

Chris Rabb

$1,859 交易量

33%

阿拉·斯坦福

$1,675 交易量

23%

摩根·塞法斯

$1,011 交易量

3%

Robin Toldens

$3,139 交易量

2%

大衛·奧克斯曼

$3,939 交易量

1%

Gabriel Caceres

$3,360 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus favors state Sen. Sharif Street at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting his strong establishment backing from the Philadelphia Democratic Party, building trades unions, former Gov. Ed Rendell, and year-end fundraising lead of $701,000, bolstering his ground game in this low-turnout, safely Democratic (+40D margin) open seat race to replace retiring Rep. Dwight Evans. State Rep. Chris Rabb trails closely at 32.4% after recent progressive endorsements from Justice Democrats, Working Families Party, U.S. Rep. Summer Lee, and local groups like Philly DSA, signaling consolidation on the left amid field narrowing to six candidates. Pediatric surgeon Dr. Ala Stanford holds 22.7% on her COVID-19 vaccine outreach fame and Evans endorsement, but lacks legislative experience. Yesterday's April 3 forum highlighted stylistic divides—Street's pragmatism, Rabb's boldness, Stanford's trust-building—without separation; an upcoming WHYY debate could shift dynamics via standout performances or late endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$19,266
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, trader consensus favors state Sen. Sharif Street at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting his strong establishment backing from the Philadelphia Democratic Party, building trades unions, former Gov. Ed Rendell, and year-end fundraising lead of $701,000, bolstering his ground game in this low-turnout, safely Democratic (+40D margin) open seat race to replace retiring Rep. Dwight Evans. State Rep. Chris Rabb trails closely at 32.4% after recent progressive endorsements from Justice Democrats, Working Families Party, U.S. Rep. Summer Lee, and local groups like Philly DSA, signaling consolidation on the left amid field narrowing to six candidates. Pediatric surgeon Dr. Ala Stanford holds 22.7% on her COVID-19 vaccine outreach fame and Evans endorsement, but lacks legislative experience. Yesterday's April 3 forum highlighted stylistic divides—Street's pragmatism, Rabb's boldness, Stanford's trust-building—without separation; an upcoming WHYY debate could shift dynamics via standout performances or late endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$19,266
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sharif Street" at 40%, followed by "Chris Rabb" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $19.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Sharif Street" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chris Rabb" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PA-03民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.