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政治·主要

奧克拉荷馬州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

奧克拉荷馬州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

$16,479 交易量

Polymarket

$16,479 交易量

辛迪·孟森

$10,766 交易量

94%

Arya Azma

$5,713 交易量

7%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cyndi Munson holds a commanding 93.5% implied probability as the Democratic frontrunner for Oklahoma's June 16, 2026 gubernatorial primary, driven by her role as House Minority Leader, early April 2025 campaign launch, and recent ballot qualification during the April 1-4 filing window that underscores her organizational strength and grassroots momentum across all 77 counties. Challenger Arya Azma, a 2022 U.S. Senate primary candidate, trails at 7% amid scant visibility or endorsements, reflecting trader consensus on Munson's incumbency advantage in a low-turnout primary. While late entrants or scandals could erode her lead, no polls or competing heavyweights have emerged to shift the dynamics yet.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$16,479
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cyndi Munson holds a commanding 93.5% implied probability as the Democratic frontrunner for Oklahoma's June 16, 2026 gubernatorial primary, driven by her role as House Minority Leader, early April 2025 campaign launch, and recent ballot qualification during the April 1-4 filing window that underscores her organizational strength and grassroots momentum across all 77 counties. Challenger Arya Azma, a 2022 U.S. Senate primary candidate, trails at 7% amid scant visibility or endorsements, reflecting trader consensus on Munson's incumbency advantage in a low-turnout primary. While late entrants or scandals could erode her lead, no polls or competing heavyweights have emerged to shift the dynamics yet.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$16,479
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"奧克拉荷馬州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "辛迪·孟森" at 94%, followed by "Arya Azma" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "奧克拉荷馬州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $16.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "奧克拉荷馬州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "奧克拉荷馬州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "辛迪·孟森" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arya Azma" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "奧克拉荷馬州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.