Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 55.5% probability for a Democratic victory in Ohio's open-seat gubernatorial race, driven by March 2026 polls showing presumptive nominee Amy Acton leading or tied with Vivek Ramaswamy, the Republican primary frontrunner. Acton, former Ohio health director, cleared her primary path unopposed, while Ramaswamy dominates GOP surveys ahead of the May 5 primaries despite concerns over his provocative positions providing Democratic ammunition. Yesterday, forecasters Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball downgraded the contest from Likely Republican to Lean Republican, citing campaign baggage and Ohio's preference for mainstream GOP candidates in this battleground state. Recent Emerson polling also reflects Democratic gains since late 2025.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$70,520 交易量
$70,520 交易量

民主黨
55%

共和黨
43%
$70,520 交易量
$70,520 交易量

民主黨
55%

共和黨
43%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 55.5% probability for a Democratic victory in Ohio's open-seat gubernatorial race, driven by March 2026 polls showing presumptive nominee Amy Acton leading or tied with Vivek Ramaswamy, the Republican primary frontrunner. Acton, former Ohio health director, cleared her primary path unopposed, while Ramaswamy dominates GOP surveys ahead of the May 5 primaries despite concerns over his provocative positions providing Democratic ammunition. Yesterday, forecasters Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball downgraded the contest from Likely Republican to Lean Republican, citing campaign baggage and Ohio's preference for mainstream GOP candidates in this battleground state. Recent Emerson polling also reflects Democratic gains since late 2025.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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