Incumbent Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's dominant position in New York's 14th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic stronghold spanning parts of Queens and the Bronx, underpins trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 92.5% for the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's diverse urban electorate and historical landslide Democratic margins—coupled with AOC's repeated primary and general triumphs—cement this lead, reinforced by recent union endorsements like District Council 37's March backing of Democratic candidates. Wall Street challenger Marty Dolan's rematch bid in the June 23 Democratic primary poses intra-party risk but little threat to the general outcome. GOP prospects remain dim absent a high-profile Republican recruit or unforeseen Democratic scandal, nominee health issue, or legal development before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
92%
共和黨
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
$7,188 交易量
92%
共和黨
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's dominant position in New York's 14th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic stronghold spanning parts of Queens and the Bronx, underpins trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 92.5% for the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's diverse urban electorate and historical landslide Democratic margins—coupled with AOC's repeated primary and general triumphs—cement this lead, reinforced by recent union endorsements like District Council 37's March backing of Democratic candidates. Wall Street challenger Marty Dolan's rematch bid in the June 23 Democratic primary poses intra-party risk but little threat to the general outcome. GOP prospects remain dim absent a high-profile Republican recruit or unforeseen Democratic scandal, nominee health issue, or legal development before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$7,188結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's dominant position in New York's 14th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic stronghold spanning parts of Queens and the Bronx, underpins trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 92.5% for the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's diverse urban electorate and historical landslide Democratic margins—coupled with AOC's repeated primary and general triumphs—cement this lead, reinforced by recent union endorsements like District Council 37's March backing of Democratic candidates. Wall Street challenger Marty Dolan's rematch bid in the June 23 Democratic primary poses intra-party risk but little threat to the general outcome. GOP prospects remain dim absent a high-profile Republican recruit or unforeseen Democratic scandal, nominee health issue, or legal development before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,188結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's dominant position in New York's 14th Congressional District, a reliably Democratic stronghold spanning parts of Queens and the Bronx, underpins trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 92.5% for the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's diverse urban electorate and historical landslide Democratic margins—coupled with AOC's repeated primary and general triumphs—cement this lead, reinforced by recent union endorsements like District Council 37's March backing of Democratic candidates. Wall Street challenger Marty Dolan's rematch bid in the June 23 Democratic primary poses intra-party risk but little threat to the general outcome. GOP prospects remain dim absent a high-profile Republican recruit or unforeseen Democratic scandal, nominee health issue, or legal development before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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