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選舉·主要

NY-07民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·主要

NY-07民主黨初選獲勝者

克萊爾·瓦爾德茲 77%

Antonio Reynoso 22%

林肯·雷斯特勒 <1%

Tiffany Cabán <1%

Polymarket

$86,253 交易量

克萊爾·瓦爾德茲 77%

Antonio Reynoso 22%

林肯·雷斯特勒 <1%

Tiffany Cabán <1%

Polymarket

$86,253 交易量

克萊爾·瓦爾德茲

$5,487 交易量

77%

Antonio Reynoso

$5,349 交易量

22%

林肯·雷斯特勒

$4,586 交易量

1%

Tiffany Cabán

$6,462 交易量

<1%

Julie Won

$2,740 交易量

<1%

Sandy Nurse

$7,733 交易量

<1%

克莉絲汀·岡薩雷斯

$24,152 交易量

<1%

Julia Salazar

$5,693 交易量

<1%

Jennifer Gútierrez

$24,091 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Claire Valdez commands trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability to win the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her recent endorsement from Sen. Bernie Sanders on April 2, bolstering her progressive credentials in the left-leaning Brooklyn-Queens district alongside backing from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, DSA, UAW, and Justice Democrats. Assemblymember Valdez's strong grassroots fundraising and union-organizer background have fueled momentum since her January launch to succeed retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez, who endorses Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso at 21.5%. Reynoso holds support from the Working Families Party and Rep. Pat Ryan, but the socialist-left consolidation behind Valdez has widened her lead amid no recent polls, with minor candidates trailing far behind.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$86,253
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Claire Valdez commands trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability to win the NY-07 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by her recent endorsement from Sen. Bernie Sanders on April 2, bolstering her progressive credentials in the left-leaning Brooklyn-Queens district alongside backing from NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, DSA, UAW, and Justice Democrats. Assemblymember Valdez's strong grassroots fundraising and union-organizer background have fueled momentum since her January launch to succeed retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez, who endorses Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso at 21.5%. Reynoso holds support from the Working Families Party and Rep. Pat Ryan, but the socialist-left consolidation behind Valdez has widened her lead amid no recent polls, with minor candidates trailing far behind.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$86,253
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"NY-07民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "克萊爾·瓦爾德茲" at 77%, followed by "Antonio Reynoso" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NY-07民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $86.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NY-07民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NY-07民主黨初選獲勝者" is "克萊爾·瓦爾德茲" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Antonio Reynoso" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NY-07民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.