Market icon
政治·紐約

NY-06民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·紐約

NY-06民主黨初選獲勝者

孟昭文 56%

查爾斯·朴 33%

嚴雄 6%

Polymarket
最新

孟昭文 56%

查爾斯·朴 33%

嚴雄 6%

Polymarket
最新

孟昭文

$0 交易量

56%

查爾斯·朴

$0 交易量

33%

嚴雄

$183 交易量

6%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng leads trader consensus at 56% implied probability in the NY-06 Democratic primary due to her strong name recognition, fundraising edge, and recent endorsements from State Sen. John Liu on March 18 and retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez on March 31, bolstering her position among establishment Democrats in the Asian-American heavy Queens district. Progressive challenger Charles "Chuck" Park, at 32%, has gained ground through a grassroots field launch on March 17, NY Progressive Action Network backing on March 2, and community events appealing to voters critical of Meng's foreign aid votes, reflecting a competitive left-wing challenge absent clear polls. Yan Xiong trails at 6% with limited visibility. The June 23 closed primary remains fluid amid turnout dynamics in battleground precincts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$183
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng leads trader consensus at 56% implied probability in the NY-06 Democratic primary due to her strong name recognition, fundraising edge, and recent endorsements from State Sen. John Liu on March 18 and retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez on March 31, bolstering her position among establishment Democrats in the Asian-American heavy Queens district. Progressive challenger Charles "Chuck" Park, at 32%, has gained ground through a grassroots field launch on March 17, NY Progressive Action Network backing on March 2, and community events appealing to voters critical of Meng's foreign aid votes, reflecting a competitive left-wing challenge absent clear polls. Yan Xiong trails at 6% with limited visibility. The June 23 closed primary remains fluid amid turnout dynamics in battleground precincts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$183
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"NY-06民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "孟昭文" at 56%, followed by "查爾斯·朴" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NY-06民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 19, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NY-06民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NY-06民主黨初選獲勝者" is "孟昭文" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "查爾斯·朴" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NY-06民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.