Market icon

越南下任總統

Market icon

越南下任總統

Tô Lâm 95%

潘文江 3.4%

陳清敏 2.2%

陳錦秀 <1%

Polymarket

$30,302,086 交易量

Tô Lâm 95%

潘文江 3.4%

陳清敏 2.2%

陳錦秀 <1%

Polymarket

$30,302,086 交易量

Market icon

Tô Lâm

$3,821,668 交易量

95%

Market icon

潘文江

$2,463,922 交易量

3%

Market icon

陳清敏

$2,533,816 交易量

2%

Market icon

陳錦秀

$2,377,461 交易量

<1%

Market icon

Lương Cường

$2,524,218 交易量

<1%

Market icon

阮維玉

$1,039,700 交易量

<1%

Market icon

范明政

$15,541,300 交易量

<1%

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tô Lâm's 94.5% implied probability as next State President reflects trader consensus on his unchallenged dominance as Communist Party General Secretary, solidified by his January 2026 reelection at the 14th National Congress and the party's near-total sweep of the March 15 National Assembly elections, securing 93% of seats for the 16th legislature. The new assembly convenes this week to elect top leaders, including the largely ceremonial presidency, amid signals of power consolidation in a one-party state with no viable opposition. Historical patterns in Vietnam's leadership transitions favor the General Secretary's preferred candidate, leaving minimal room for alternatives like Defense Minister Phan Văn Giang. Only unforeseen health issues, scandals, or Politburo factional disputes could shift odds before formal confirmation.

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.

If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$30,302,086
結束日期
2026-01-25
市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tô Lâm's 94.5% implied probability as next State President reflects trader consensus on his unchallenged dominance as Communist Party General Secretary, solidified by his January 2026 reelection at the 14th National Congress and the party's near-total sweep of the March 15 National Assembly elections, securing 93% of seats for the 16th legislature. The new assembly convenes this week to elect top leaders, including the largely ceremonial presidency, amid signals of power consolidation in a one-party state with no viable opposition. Historical patterns in Vietnam's leadership transitions favor the General Secretary's preferred candidate, leaving minimal room for alternatives like Defense Minister Phan Văn Giang. Only unforeseen health issues, scandals, or Politburo factional disputes could shift odds before formal confirmation.

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.

If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$30,302,086
結束日期
2026-01-25
市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"越南下任總統" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tô Lâm" at 95%, followed by "潘文江" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "越南下任總統" has generated $30.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "越南下任總統," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "越南下任總統" is "Tô Lâm" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "潘文江" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "越南下任總統" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.